Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction
PublishedAugust 17, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:August 17, 2024 ,

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/17/2024

The Boston Red Sox (64-57) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (72-51) on Saturday, August 17th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-124)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive performance.
  • Baltimore has a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
  • The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 games against the Red Sox, demonstrating recent head-to-head dominance.
  • Baltimore has a higher league ranking (3rd) compared to Boston (7th), reflecting overall better performance this season.
  • The Orioles have a better division record (27-14) compared to the Red Sox (15-14), indicating stronger performance against divisional opponents.

Red Sox vs Orioles

boston red sox nba

It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Orioles series. Boston went into the matchup as +152 underdogs and squeaked out a 12-10 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Orioles actually outhit the Red Sox in the game 17 to 14.

Brennan Bernardino only went two-thirds of an inning for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run and got the win. Kenley Jansen closed things out. Corbin Burnes had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss.

Masataka Yoshida and Jarren Duran each homered for the Red Sox, while Rafael Devers scored three times and drove in three runs while going 2/4. David Hamilton also had a two-hit game and scored twice for Boston’s offense.

As the underdog on the road, the Red Sox have a 21-20 straight-up record this season. Their average run differential in wins is +4.0, while in losses, it’s -4.1. Against the run line, Boston has a 34-26 record on the road and 22-39 at home. Overall, the Red Sox are 64-57, sitting in 3rd place in the AL East, one game behind the Orioles.

This season, Boston’s games have averaged 9.8 runs, resulting in a 64-50 O/U record. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, the over has hit 8 times, the under 4 times, and there have been 3 pushes. Today’s O/U line is set at 9 runs.

Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 4.97. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.44. The right-hander has turned in eight quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three walks and four hits. Bello has not taken a loss or a win in his last four outings, finishing with a no-decision in each.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

The Red Sox come into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Boston is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 75 RBIs are 13th in the MLB. He is also 11th in the league with 26 home runs. Devers comes into the game with a batting average of .298. Tyler O’Neill is 2nd on the team with 22 homers and has a batting average of .268.

Currently, the Orioles are 72-51 overall and sit 2nd in the AL East, just one game behind the Yankees. Their average run differential per game this season is +0.7, and their run line record is 67-56. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 15-13-3.

For the season, the Orioles have been the favorite in 100 games and have a 60-40 record in those matchups. Their overall series record is 22-11-5, and they are tied in the current series vs. the Red Sox. The combined run average in their games is 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 68-45.

Cade Povich Gets The Start For The Orioles

Baltimore is sending Cade Povich to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he will be looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays. In that start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and took the loss. Looking back over his last three starts, Povich has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. Povich’s record for the season is 1-5, and he has an ERA of 6.27. Opposing batters are hitting .268 off the left-hander this season. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 6.03 strikeouts per nine innings.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Their team slugging percentage of .453 is also the best in the league, and their isolated power (ISO) of .196 is also the best in the MLB. Baltimore’s offense is also 2nd in OPS and 5th in team batting average.

Anthony Santander has struggled a bit over his last five games, hitting just .211, but he does have two homers in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .242 with 36 home runs. Gunnar Henderson has also gone deep 31 times this season and is batting .287 overall. Henderson has also gone 6/20 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at -124. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, and with the payout for an Orioles win being -124, we see this as a great value.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with six strikeouts compared to Cade Povich with five. However, we have Povich finishing with a better chance of picking up the win compared to Bello.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.