Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8/18/2024

The Boston Red Sox (65-57) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (72-52) on Sunday, August 18th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-143)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Orioles have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games.
  • In the last 15 games, the Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games.
  • The Orioles have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Red Sox.
  • The Orioles have a higher overall win percentage (.581) compared to the Red Sox (.533).
  • The Orioles have a 27-15 record in division games, while the Red Sox have a 16-14 record in division games.

Red Sox vs Orioles

boston red sox nba

Boston cruised to a 5-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 7th inning, scoring two runs in the 1st and adding three more in the 2nd. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -105.

Brayan Bello pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Cade Povich got the start for the Orioles, going just 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill each homered for the Red Sox, while Triston Casas went 2/4 with an RBI. Jarren Duran also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for Boston’s offense.

Boston’s series record this season is 20-13-5, and they have won two straight series on the road. In AL East matchups, they have gone 16-14, and their overall record is 65-57. The Red Sox are currently 3rd in the AL East, seven games behind the Yankees.

On the run line, the Red Sox have been a good bet as the underdog, with a 36-27 record. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs, and their O/U record is 64-51. When the O/U line has been set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 8-4-3.

Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Boston is sending Kutter Crawford to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he comes in with a record of 8-9 and an ERA of 4.21. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. Out of his 24 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Crawford picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in back-to-back starts. Crawford has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.6 compared to 4-5 with a 4.62 ERA at home.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per contest. Not only are they one of the top-scoring teams in the league, but they are also one of the most dangerous lineups in terms of power, as they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 2nd best team slugging percentage. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 27 homers are 9th in the league. He also leads the team with 77 RBIs and is batting .297. Devers has gone deep twice in his last six games, but overall, he is just 6/24 in his last six games. Jarren Duran is 3rd on the team with 15 homers and is batting .290 for the season.

Currently, the Orioles are 72-52 this season, trailing the Yankees by one game in the AL East. They have an overall series record of 22-11-5, but are losing their current series against the Red Sox. Against the run line, they are 51-50 when favored and 16-7 as underdogs.

For games with an over/under line of 9 runs, the Orioles have a 15-13-3 O/U record. Their average run total per game this season is 9.4, with 69.4% of their games having lower lines than today’s 9-run total.

Albert Suárez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through 16 starts, Albert Suárez has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 3.39 for the Orioles. He has made 24 appearances this season. Suárez has turned in three straight outings in which he didn’t factor in the decision. Most recently, he faced the Rays on August 11th and went 6 2/3 innings, giving up no earned runs on five hits. He did give up one homer in that outing. Suárez has a batting average allowed of .241 and a WHIP of 1.29. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.17 strikeouts and 3.29 walks.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles offense has been one of the best in the league, as they are 3rd in runs per game (5) and are the top home run hitting team in the league. As a team, they are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league. Their team slugging percentage of .452 is the best in the MLB, and their isolated power (ISO) of .196 is also the best in the league. Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson are the team’s top home run hitters, with 36 and 32 homers, respectively.

Over his last 10 games, Gunnar Henderson has gone 11/40 with three homers and six RBIs, while Santander has also hit three homers in this stretch but has just a .175 batting average. Santander is also batting just .240 for the season.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -143. We actually have the final score of this game ending with a 6-5 victory for the Orioles.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Albert Suarez is actually projected to finish with the most strikeouts among all starters today, and you could also look to take him in the prop market for his strikeout line. Suarez is projected to finish with seven K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.