Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction 9/3/2024

The Boston Red Sox (70-68) travel to face off against the New York Mets (74-64) on Tuesday, September 3rd. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on NESN. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Red Sox vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (+107)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Red Sox have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games, showing offensive potential.
  • Boston has a winning record on the road in the last 15 games, with 5 wins and 4 losses.
  • The Red Sox have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, indicating strong performance against competitive teams.
  • Boston has a higher away win percentage (.565) compared to the Mets’ home win percentage (.522) in the last 15 games.
  • The Red Sox have a recent head-to-head win against the Mets, winning 6-5 on August 20th.

Red Sox vs Mets

boston red sox nba

New York picked up a 4-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 4th inning and added two more runs in the 5th, while the Red Sox scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -115 on the money line.

Luis Severino pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Red Sox, Brayan Bello got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.

Francisco Lindor and Luis Torrens each had two hits and an RBI for the Mets’ offense. Lindor, Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso, and Michael Conforto each scored a run for New York.

After losing the first game of the series, the Red Sox are 21-17-6 in series this season. They have dropped three straight games and are 3-7 in their last 10 games. Boston’s overall record is 70-68, putting them 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East.

On the run line, the Red Sox have a 40-30 record as underdogs, but they are 24-45 when favored. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs this season, and their over/under record is 70-61. The current under streak for the Red Sox is at three games, and today’s O/U line is set at 8 runs.

Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Right-hander Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. Crawford has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with a 4.12 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .217 this season. Crawford has turned in 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Crawford gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander has been hurt by the long ball, giving up 28 homers this season.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Red Sox are 8th in home runs this season and are batting a collective .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Boston’s offense has been very good at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 9th in the league at 4.8 runs per contest.

Jarren Duran has been on a tear for the Red Sox, going 12/32 in his last eight games, with three homers and six RBIs. He also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Duran is batting .294. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 80 RBIs and is 9th in the league with 28 homers. His batting average of .281 is 3rd on the team.

As the favorite, the Mets have a 47-35 straight-up record this season, but they are just 35-47 against the run line. New York enters today’s game with a 74-64 overall record and a five-game winning streak, sitting 3rd in the NL East, 7.5 games behind the Phillies.

For the season, Mets games have averaged 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 68-66. The under has hit in five straight games, and when the total is 8 runs, their O/U record is 14-7.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today vs. the Red Sox and comes in with a record of 8-1 and ERA of 2.83. So far, he has made 16 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision vs. the Diamondbacks. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and two walks. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Opponents are batting .233 off Peterson this season, and his WHIP is 1.32.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear for the Mets, as he is currently on a 13-game hitting streak and has gone 7/23 in his last six games, including two homers. During this stretch, he has driven in three runs and scored five times. For the season, he is batting .271 with a team-high 81 RBIs. Pete Alonso also has over 30 homers, as he is 2nd on the team with 76 RBIs, but he has struggled of late, going just 3/23 in his last six games.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league and are batting a collective .249. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league.

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction

Our prediction for this Red Sox vs. Mets matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line, with the payout currently at +107. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kutter Crawford finishing with six strikeouts, while David Peterson is projected to finish with seven. However, we have Peterson going six innings and Crawford going just five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.