The Boston Red Sox (48-40) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (55-36) on Sunday, July 7th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on ESPN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:10Â CT.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-154)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Yankees have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Yankees have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Red Sox.
- The Yankees have a higher overall win percentage (.604) compared to the Red Sox (.545) this season.
- The Yankees have a better home record (25-18) compared to the Red Sox’s away record (28-17).
- The Yankees have scored 14 runs in their most recent home game against the Red Sox.
Red Sox vs Yankees
New York cruised to a 14-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 5th inning, scoring seven of their fourteen runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their final run in the 5th and were held in check the rest of the game.
Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out eight. He did not factor into the decision as Tim Hill got the win out of the bullpen. Josh Winckowski only went 3 2/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs on five hits.
At the plate, the Yankees were led by Ben Rice, who went 3/5 with three homers and seven RBIs. Both Alex Verdugo and DJ LeMahieu each had two hits and two RBIs for New York’s offense.
As the underdog, the Red Sox have a 15-14 record on the road and are 22-22 overall. Their run line record on the road is 26-19, and their average run differential is +1.3. Overall, their run line record is 41-47 with an average run differential of +0.4.
Boston is 3rd in the AL East, 7.5 games behind the Orioles, with a 48-40 overall record. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record in games with an 8.5 total is 16-11.
Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-7. His ERA is 3.47, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opposing batters are hitting .217 off the right-hander this season. Crawford’s last outing came on July 2nd, where he picked up the win vs. the Marlins. In that start, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Crawford has made nine quality starts this season and is averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 7th best mark in the league. The Red Sox have been a tough team to strike out, but they are just 18th in home runs.
Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 19 home runs is 8th in the league and the best mark on the Red Sox. He also comes into the game with a team-high 53 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Devers has gone 9/30 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Jarren Duran has also been swinging a good bat of late, going deep three times in his last eight games, but is hitting just .189 in that stretch.
Currently, the Yankees are in a bit of a slump, having lost seven of their last 10 games and four straight series at home. They are looking to turn things around today against the Red Sox, as they trail the Orioles by two games in the AL East with a 55-36 overall record.
When the Yankees are underdogs, they have a strong 14-4 run line record, but as favorites, they are 35-38. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, resulting in a 48-40 over/under record. For games with an 8.5 run line, the over has hit 24 times in 39 games, which is a 61.5% over rate.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 3.41. Looking back at his last outing, Gil took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. He has lost each of his last three starts, giving up at least four earned runs in each outing. Gil’s ERA at home is 7.57 compared to 3.7 on the road. Opponents are batting .163 off Gil this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.24 strikeouts and 4.82 walks.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are also the league’s top home run hitting team and are 2nd in team on-base percentage.
Both Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been swinging the bat well of late, with Judge going 12/36 in his last nine games with two homers, and Soto has gone deep four times in this stretch. Judge and Soto are also the team’s top two hitters for the season, with Judge leading the way with a .312 batting average and Soto right behind him at .295.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
Our prediction for this Red Sox and Yankees matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 6-5. With the Yankees picking up the win, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -154.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the sixth best among today’s starters. As for Kutter Crawford, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the sixth worst.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 9, 2024 Red Sox, Yankees