Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction 9/14/2024

The Boston Red Sox (74-74) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (86-62) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on MLBN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (+158)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Red Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
  • The Red Sox have a better away record (39-34) compared to the Yankees’ home record (41-32).
  • The Red Sox have won 4 of their last 7 away games.
  • The Red Sox have outscored the Yankees in head-to-head games this season, including a 5-3 win on July 5th.
  • The Red Sox have a higher league rank (9th) compared to the Yankees (10th) in the AL East.

Red Sox vs Yankees

boston red sox nba

New York picked up a 5-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored two runs in the 6th and added two more in the 7th but couldn’t complete the comeback.

Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. He didn’t factor into the decision, as Mark Leiter Jr. got the win out of the bullpen. Luke Weaver got the save. Richard Fitts only went five innings for the Red Sox, giving up two earned runs on two hits.

Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida each homered for the Red Sox, while Aaron Judge went deep for the Yankees. Judge finished the game 2/3 with four RBIs.

As the underdog, Boston has lost seven straight games and has a 24-29 record on the road. Overall, the Red Sox are at an even 74-74 this season and are 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. They have dropped two straight games and are down 2-0 in the current series vs. New York.

This season, the Red Sox have a 70-78 run line record, with a 42-31 run line record on the road. Their average run total is 9.5 runs per game, and their O/U record is 74-66. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 25-15.

Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 13-7 with an ERA of 4.70. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bello picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 5.95 compared to 4.87 on the road.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in batting average at .255 and are also among the league leaders in home runs and slugging percentage. Overall, they are 9th in the league in runs per game at 4.7. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they have the league’s best team BABIP at .32.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are the Red Sox’s top power threats, with Devers leading the team with 81 RBIs and O’Neill’s 30 homers pacing the club. Devers is also 14th in the league in home runs. O’Neill has been hot of late, batting .278 with five homers over his last 10 games.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees hold a 27-15-4 series record, having won the first two games of this series against the Red Sox. Their overall record stands at 86-62, putting them three games ahead of the Orioles in the AL East. As favorites this season, the Yankees have a 68-55 straight-up record, but their run line record is 55-68. When they’ve been underdogs, they have a 21-4 run line record.

This season, the average run total in Yankees games is 9.2, and their O/U record is 79-64. Games with O/U lines higher than 8.5 runs have accounted for 34.5% of their matchups, with a 32-20 O/U record when the line is set at 8.5 runs.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

Gerrit Cole will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Yankees vs. the Red Sox today. In that start vs. the Cubs, Cole took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, going 6 innings in three straight starts without giving up more than one earned run. Cole’s ERA for the season is 3.36, along with a record of 6-4. For the year, he has made 14 starts, six of which were quality starts. Cole’s ERA at home is 4.1 compared to 3.39 on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league, and they are also 2nd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team, which is 8th in the league. New York’s offense has been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game.

Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 52 homers lead the league. He also leads the team with a batting average of .321 and 130 RBIs. Judge has gone 7/24 in his last seven games, including one home run. Juan Soto is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 39 homers is 4th in the league. However, Soto has struggled of late, going just 3/24 in his last seven games.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

We like the Red Sox on the money line in this one, with the payout sitting at +158. With a Red Sox win, we see them coming out on top by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to add some Red Sox hitters, as they are projected to hit four home runs, which is the fourth-best in the league today.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Brayan Bello with five. Cole is projected to go five innings, while Bello is projected to go nine. However, Bello is a good option to pick up a win, as he ranks 12th in our starting pitcher rankings compared to Cole at fifth.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.