Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction 4/19/2024

The Boston Red Sox (10-10) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-8) on Friday, April 19th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. Both the Red Sox and Pirates are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Red Sox vs Pirates

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The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Guardians scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Boston was the -107 favorite at home going into the game.

Brennan Bernardino got the start for the Red Sox and only lasted two innings. He didn’t give up a run, but the Red Sox pulled him early, and the bullpen couldn’t close things out. Jarren Duran had only one hit, but it was a two-run home run in the 2nd inning. The Red Sox also wasted a good game from Rafael Devers, who went 3/4 with a double and two RBIs.

Boston’s Record

Boston’s overall record is currently at .500, as they are 10-10 heading into today’s game vs. the Pirates. In the AL East, they are in 5th place and trail the Yankees by 3.5 games. So far, they have yet to win a game against AL East competition, going 0-3.

The Red Sox are just below .500 both at home (3-7) and on the road (7-3). Coming into this one, they have a series record of 3-2-1. As the favorite, Boston is 7-4 this season compared to 3-6 as the underdog.

Underdogs Rise Up

The Red Sox have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, posting an 8-2 record. Their average run margin on the road is +2.6, and they’ve covered the run line in three straight games. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 7-2 against the run line in those games.

So far this season, the Boston Red Sox have played 19 games with over/under lines. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 9-10. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 6-1. In total, five of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 25% of their games. The Red Sox’ last game went over the 8.5-run line, as they and the Cleveland Guardians combined for nine runs.

Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Brayan Bello is on the mound for the Red Sox today, as they take on the Pirates on the road. Bello has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Angels. He has 15 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings of work so far this season.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

For the Red Sox, we have Triston Casas as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and home runs. His home run projection is 5th best in today’s slate of games. Rafael Devers is our 2nd best home run option on the team and 9th in the league today. Masataka Yoshida has the 6th best odds to hit a home run on the team and 17th in today’s games.

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 9-1 loss. Pittsburgh was the +134 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Pirates, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mets scored two runs in the bottom of the third.

Pittsburgh started Bailey Falter, and he took the loss, going five innings and giving up six earned runs on 4 hits. The Pirates also issued three walks and hit a batter. Oneil Cruz scored the team’s only run, going 2/4 at the plate.

Pirates Record

The Pirates are currently on a three-game losing streak, coming into today’s game vs. the Red Sox with an 11-8 record. In the NL Central, they are just one game behind the Cubs and are in 3rd place heading into today’s game.

So far, the Pirates have been good on the road, putting together an 8-6 record. At home, they are just above .500 at 3-2. Pittsburgh has an overall series record of 3-1-2.

When the Pirates are the underdog, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 10-5. Their average run margin in those games is +0.6, and they have covered the run line in three straight games when they are the underdog.

When the Pittsburgh Pirates play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Pirates’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Pirates is 11-8, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-4. So far this season, only 10.5% of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs.

Quinn Priester Gets The Start For The Pirates

Getting the start for the Pirates is Quinn Priester, who is coming off a season in which he made 10 appearances and eight starts. Priester finished the year with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 7.74. His WHIP for the season was 1.70, and he finished the year with one quality start. Opposing batters hit .283 off Priester, and his slugging percentage allowed was .541. For the season, Priester averaged 6.48 strikeouts per nine innings and 4.86 walks per nine innings.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

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When it comes to the Pirates’ offensive projections, we have Ke’Bryan Hayes with the highest total hits projection on the team and in today’s entire league. His home run projection is 4th on the team and 6th in the league. Bryan Reynolds is 3rd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 2nd on the team and 3rd in the league. Oneil Cruz is 2nd in terms of total hits, and we have him as the top Pirates player in terms of hitting a home run, with his odds 2nd best in the league today.


Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Pirates game is to take the Pirates on the money line at -122. We have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider taking the over, as we have the total runs at 10.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello going seven innings and finishing with six strikeouts. If you’re looking for a win probability, Bello is right in the middle of the pack, with his chances of picking up a win sitting at 15th.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.