Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 8/4/2024

The Boston Red Sox (58-51) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (53-58) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on NESN. The Rangers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. First pitch is set for 1:35 CT.

Red Sox vs. Rangers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (+112)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 6 or more runs in 8 games, indicating strong offensive performance.
  • The Red Sox have won 4 of their last 6 away games, showing good recent form on the road.
  • Boston has a head-to-head win against Texas in their most recent game, scoring 11 runs against the Rangers.
  • In the last 15 games, the Red Sox have won 3 of their 4 series openers, suggesting they start series strong.
  • The Red Sox have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Rangers (10th), indicating overall better performance this season.

Red Sox vs Rangers

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Rangers series. Boston went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -104 and lost by a score of 7-4. The Red Sox had a chance to tie the game in the 9th inning but could only muster one run. As for the Rangers, they scored four runs in the 4th inning and added three insurance runs in the 6th.

Texas got to Red Sox starter Tanner Houck, who gave up six earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Rangers, they got a good outing from Cody Bradford, who gave up just three earned runs across 3 2/3 innings of work.

Jonah Heim and Leody Taveras each homered for the Rangers, while Ezequiel Duran scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Josh Smith also had a three-hit game at the plate.

As the underdog, the Red Sox have a 26-29 record, while they are 32-22 as the favorite. Their overall series record this season is 17-13-5. Boston is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are 6.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East.

On the road, the Red Sox have a run line record of 30-24, with an average run margin of 0.9. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their average of 9.6 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games for Boston, bringing their O/U record to 10-6-3 when the total is 8 runs.

Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Mariners on July 29th, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and striking out 10. Looking at his overall numbers, Pivetta has made 17 starts and is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .235 this season off the right-hander. Pivetta has a total of seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.12 strikeouts per nine innings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

Rafael Devers has been on a tear of late for the Red Sox, as he is hitting .486 over his last nine games, with two homers and seven RBIs. Devers’ 25 homers this season is the best mark on the team and 8th best in the MLB. He is also 10th in the league in RBIs, with 70. Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have also been big power threats for the Red Sox, as Duran has 13 homers and O’Neill has 22.

Devers isn’t the only Red Sox hitter who has been swinging the bat well, as Rob Refsnyder has gone 8/18 in his last five games with three homers. Devers also comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak. As a team, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.9 and have the 2nd best batting average in the league.

Overall, Texas games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, with a 49-58 over/under record. The over has hit in their last 8 games, and the O/U line for today is 8 runs. The Rangers are 48-63 against the run line, with a 24-30 record at home and 24-33 on the road.

As favorites, Texas is 35-27 straight up, but they are 22-40 vs. the run line. They are 18-31 as underdogs and 26-23 vs. the run line. The Rangers are 53-58 overall, sitting 3rd in the AL West, 5.5 games behind the Mariners.

Nathan Eovaldi Gets The Start For The Rangers

Nathan Eovaldi gets the start for the Rangers today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Cardinals in which he picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back further, Eovaldi has turned in a quality start in three of his last four outings. Overall, he has 10 quality starts and a record of 8-4. Eovaldi’s ERA for the season is 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.04. Opposing batters are hitting .214 off the right-hander this season. For the year, Eovaldi has allowed 15 homers, with his BB/9 figure at 2.09 compared to 8.52 strikeouts per nine innings.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also 16th in home runs and have a team batting average of .240, which is 14th in the MLB. One area where the Rangers have struggled is with their collective isolated power, as their .142 mark is 21st in the league. The team’s on-base percentage and slugging percentage numbers are both right around the league average.

Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat for the Rangers, going 12/34 in his last eight games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .278 with 21 homers and 53 RBIs. Marcus Semien is also a big power threat for the Rangers, as he has 16 homers and is batting .246 for the season. Adolis Garcia is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but is batting just .211 this season.

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction

We are predicting that the Red Sox will take this one by a score of 5-4. So, with the Red Sox being the underdog on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one. You can get the Red Sox at +112.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nathan Eovaldi finishing with five strikeouts compared to Nick Pivetta with six. However, we have Pivetta finishing with a better ERA and picking up the win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.