Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 9/23/2024

The Boston Red Sox (78-78) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (73-83) on Monday, September 23rd. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 6:07 CT.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-118)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Blue Jays have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • In their last 3 home games, the Blue Jays have scored an average of 4.67 runs per game.
  • The Blue Jays have a head-to-head win against the Red Sox in their most recent matchup, winning 2-0 on August 29th.
  • The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (50.67%) compared to the Red Sox’s away win percentage (52.56%).
  • The Blue Jays have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showing potential for high offensive output.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays

boston red sox nba

The Red Sox Are Coming Off A Win

Boston closed out their series vs. the Twins with an impressive 9-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Twins could only score three runs, all of which came in the 5th.

Kutter Crawford put together a good start for the Red Sox, going 7 2/3 innings, and giving up just three earned runs, and picking up the win. Boston’s offense was carried by Romy Gonzalez, who went 1/4 with a homer and four RBIs.

As the underdog, the Red Sox have a 26-30 straight-up record on the road this season and a 44-34 run line record. Their overall run line record is 74-82, and they have a 46-34 run line record as the underdog. Boston’s games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-71. The over has hit in their last two games, and this season, 67.3% of their games have gone over when the total is above 8 runs.

Boston is 5 games behind the Rays for the final Wild Card spot and 14 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. They have a 37-41 home record and a 41-37 record on the road. The Red Sox’s overall straight-up record is 78-78, and their average run margin is 0.1 runs per game. Heading into today’s game, they are 2-0 as underdogs.

Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 3.21. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Houck has one complete game shutout this year and 19 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.98 strikeouts and 2.44 walks.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the league’s best team BABIP. Boston is also one of the league’s best hitting teams, with a team batting average of .253.

Rafael Devers has been a big run producer for the Red Sox this season, as his 83 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He is also 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .272 for the season. Tyler O’Neill has 31 homers this season, which is 11th in the league, but is batting just .244. Jarren Duran is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .285 for the season.

The Blue Jays Took The Last Game Of This Series

Toronto is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to Tampa Bay, Ryan Burr was excellent out of the bullpen, tossing 1 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball. The Blue Jays also got a big offensive performance from Ernie Clement, going 3/5 with a run scored.

Genesis Cabrera took the loss for the Blue Jays, as Toronto allowed the Rays to score in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. The Blue Jays were the +111 underdog going into this road game.

Currently in 5th place in the AL East, the Blue Jays are 5 games behind the Red Sox. They are 38-37 at home and 35-46 on the road this season. Toronto’s overall series record is 17-26-6, and they have lost two straight series.

Against the run line, the Blue Jays are 51-30 on the road and 28-47 at home. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 78-74. Heading into today’s game, the under has hit in their last 5 games.

Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Chris Bassitt is looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, as he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 3 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a total of seven hits and three walks. Before that, he had turned in a quality start vs. the Mets, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Bassitt has a record of 10-13 and an ERA of 4.16 to go along with a WHIP of 1.43. Opposing batters are hitting .263 off Bassitt this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.96 strikeouts and 3.4 walks.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

toronto blue jays

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the MLB. This season, they are batting .242 as a team, which is 13th in the league. As a team, they have the 19th most home runs in the league and have been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in this category.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, as he is batting .327 with 30 home runs and 100 RBIs. He is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 13/29 in his last seven games. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 for the season.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -118. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this game by a score of 6-5, which gives us some room to take the Blue Jays on the money line and not worry about the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Chris Bassitt finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Tanner Houck with five. However, Bassitt has the highest strikeout projections among starters, and we have him finishing with a win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.