Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4/13/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (9-3) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (8-5) on Saturday, April 13th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.

Brewers vs Orioles

milwaukee brewers nba

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Orioles by a score of 11-1. The Brewers offense only had three more hits than the Orioles and struck out six times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -127 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Tyler Wells for the Orioles. Peralta went six innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with 11 strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Wells was tagged for four homers and six runs in just four innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two-through-six hitters did the most damage, as they combined to go 10/20 with three homers and nine RBIs. Willy Adames, Gary Sanchez, and Joey Ortiz each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Milwaukee comes into today’s game in a three-way tie for the AL Central division lead. Currently, the Brewers are 9-3 and have won their last three games. These three straight wins came in the final three games of their series with the Reds.

Looking at their overall series record for the season, Milwaukee is 3-0-1, and they are a perfect 5-0 as road underdogs this season. They have also been good in day games so far, going 7-1.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a profitable team to back, going 7-5 overall. Their run line record is even better on the road, where they are 6-1. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 5-1 as the underdog.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been on a tear when it comes to the over, with their last five games all going over the total. Their games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season, and they have an 8-4 over/under record. Their over/under record is 4-2 when the line is set at 8.5 runs, and games with lines set at 8.5 runs have gone over the total 66.7% of the time this season.

DL Hall Gets The Start For The Brewers

DL Hall and the Brewers are on the road to take on the Orioles. Hall has made two starts this season, and he is coming off a loss to the Mariners in which he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. In his first start of the year, he went 4 innings and gave up 2 runs against the Mets.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

For the Brewers, we have Rhys Hoskins as the top candidate to hit a home run, as his home run projection is 7th best in the league today. Willy Adames is 10th in the league in terms of home run projections, and his home run projection is 2nd best on the team. William Contreras has the best hits projection on the team and 16th best in the league today. Sal Frelick is 2nd in terms of hits projections on the team and has the 17th best home run projection in the league today.

With an overall record of 8-5, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by two games. The Orioles head into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, which came in the final two games of their series with the Red Sox. So far, they have been good both at home (4-3) and on the road (4-2).

Looking at Baltimore’s series record, they have gone 3-1 so far. As the favorite, the Orioles are 7-4 this season compared to 1-1 as the underdog. They are coming off a series loss to the Brewers.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet this season, going 7-6 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 4-2 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games, and their average run differential in wins is +4.5.

The Orioles have seen the over hit in four of their seven games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs this season. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and the over is 7-4 overall. The over has hit in three straight games, including today’s 12-run contest against the Brewers.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Dean Kremer will be getting the start for the Orioles at home against the Brewers. In his first start of the season, Kremer went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 3 earned runs. He followed that up with a strong outing against the Pirates, going 7 innings and striking out 6, while only giving up 1 run.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

For the Orioles, we have Gunnar Henderson as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His total hits projection is the 14th best in the league today. We also have Henderson with the 2nd best odds on the team to hit a home run, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Anthony Santander has the top odds to hit a home run for the Orioles, and his home run projection is 6th best in the league. Adley Rutschman is 19th in the league in terms of total hits projections today.

 

Brewers vs Orioles Prediction

 

Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles, which means that there is some value in taking them on the money line at -147. At these odds, we have the Orioles’ chances of winning at around 64%.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Dean Kremer finishing with fewer strikeouts than DL Hall, but overall, we have Hall ending up with a better line. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this game going over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.