Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 5/6/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (20-13) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (20-15) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on BSWI. Both the Brewers and Royals are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Brewers vs Royals

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The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-0 loss. Milwaukee was the -140 favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Cubs scored three times in the 2nd.

Offensively, the Brewers only had five fewer hits than the Cubs but didn’t score a run. Freddy Peralta took the loss and only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs. He also issued six walks.

Milwaukee is 20-13 overall, putting them in a tie with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Cubs. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Brewers are an even 7-7 this year, and they have gone 13-6 on the road. This season, the Brewers have been really good in day games, going 12-5. As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 9-3 this season, and their overall series record is 6-3-2.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a much better bet on the road this season. They are 12-7 against the run line away from home, compared to just 4-10 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 12-6 against the run line in those situations this season. Their average run differential on the road is +1.7 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played 33 games this season, and their combined run average is 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 19-14, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When their over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 13 of those 18 games. Their games have had over/under lines of 8.5 runs just 6.1% of the time.

Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers

Bryse Wilson gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces off against the Royals on the road. He has made three starts and nine appearances this season, coming in with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 3.00. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. The right-hander most recently pitched on April 29th, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Wilson’s ERA on the road is 12.23 compared to 2.57 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.87 strikeouts and 2.62 walks.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras has been on a tear for the Brewers, as he is batting .336 for the season and has gone deep five times, which is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league. He also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Christian Yelich is also swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, as he is batting .333 and has five homers. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins also have six homers apiece.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Led by a big game by Bobby Witt Jr. at the plate, the Royals are coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. Witt went 2/4 with a run scored and a double. The Royals also got a good start from Daniel Lynch, going five innings and not giving up a run. However, they still took the loss, as Kansas City was the +115 underdog at home going into the game.

James McArthur took the loss out of the bullpen for the Royals, as Kansas City allowed three runs in the top of the 10th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Royals were also without Adalberto Mondesi, who is on the IL with a hamstring injury.

Kansas City will host the Brewers today with an overall record of 20-15, which has them 2nd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians. The Royals head into today’s game having dropped two straight, and they lost the final two games of their series vs. the Rangers.

At home, the Royals are 13-7 this season compared to 7-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals have gone 7-4 this season and 13-11 as the underdog. So far, they are 5-2 as the favorite at home.

When the Kansas City Royals are the underdog, they are a good bet to cover the run line, going 17-7. Their average run margin in those games is 1.3 runs per game. They are 6-5 against the run line as the favorite.

When the Kansas City Royals play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 11-22. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-11. So far this season, 22.9% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Cole Ragans Gets The Start For The Royals

Cole Ragans is getting the start for the Royals today and is facing the Brewers at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.44. One of his complete games came at home, and he has a total of four quality starts. Ragans’ ERA at home is 12.0 compared to 0.45 on the road. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Royals Offense Breakdown

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Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the Royals’ top hitters this season, as Perez is batting .328 with 8 homers, and Witt Jr. is hitting .319 and has gone deep four times. Perez’s 30 RBIs are 3rd in the league, while Maikel Garcia is 12th in the league with 20 RBIs but has a batting average of just .232.

Over his last 10 games, Bobby Witt Jr. has gone 12/37, and Maikel Garcia has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/41 in that stretch. Michael Massey and Vinnie Pasquantino have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Massey on an eight-game hitting streak and Pasquantino on a five-game streak.

Brewers vs Royals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Royals matchup is that the Royals will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that the payout for a money line bet on the Royals is -147, this is the route we recommend going.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cole Ragans finishing with four strikeouts compared to Bryse Wilson with just two. Offensively, we have the Royals finishing with nine hits compared to the Brewers with nine.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.