The Milwaukee Brewers (55-42) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (54-42) on Saturday, July 20th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSWI. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Brewers vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (+104)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Brewers have scored 9 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games.
- Brewers have a winning record on the road with 26 wins and 25 losses.
- Brewers have won 3 of their last 4 road games.
- Brewers have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- Brewers have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Twins (4th).
Brewers vs Twins
The Brewers Are Coming Off A Win
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 9-3 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the top of the 2nd, the Brewers responded with three runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
Colin Rea put together a good start for the Brewers, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Milwaukee has struggled recently, losing three straight series and going 3-7 in their last 10 games. They are 55-42 overall and hold a 4.5-game lead in the NL Central over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 29-17 at home and 26-25 on the road this season.
When the Brewers are favored, they have a 33-21 record straight up, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, resulting in a 52-41 over/under record. The over has hit in their last two games, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs, with today’s total set at 7.5 runs.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Peralta has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. His ERA for the season is 4.11, along with a record of 6-5. Peralta has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 11.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has 130 strikeouts, which ranks sixth in the majors. For the year, Peralta has allowed 14 homers and is averaging 3.15 walks per nine innings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Brewers have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .255, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They have also been very disciplined at the plate, as they have the league’s best on-base percentage and are 3rd in walks. The Brewers have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game.
Willy Adames has been a key part of the Brewers’ offense this season, as his 15 home runs are the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league. He is also coming off a stretch in which he went 9/21 (.429) with two homers and nine RBIs. Adames is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Catcher William Contreras is also having a strong season, batting .286 with 11 homers and 55 RBIs.
The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series
Minnesota closed out their series vs. the Giants with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as the Twins held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. Minnesota was the +135 underdog on the road going into this game.
Chris Paddack put together a good start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Twins couldn’t close things out, and Jhoan Duran took the loss out of the bullpen. The Twins also wasted a big game from Manuel Margot, who went 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored.
Minnesota has a 54-42 overall record and is five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins are 27-18 at home and 27-24 on the road. They have a 19-10-2 series record this season.
For the season, Twins games have gone over the total 47 times, with an average of 9.2 runs per game. Their games with an O/U line of 7.5 have gone over 13 times and under 11 times. Currently, they are on a 2-game under streak.
Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins
Pitching for the Twins today is right-hander Pablo López, who has made 19 starts this season. López’s record is 8-7, and he has an ERA of 5.11. In his 19 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.47 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, López finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for López is that his walk numbers are low, coming in at 1.99 per nine innings compared to 10.47 strikeouts.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 7th in runs per game (4.9), and are also 7th in home runs and have the 4th best team batting average in the league. The Twins have been especially good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Carlos Correa and Ryan Jeffers are both among the league leaders in home runs, with 13 and 14, respectively. Correa is also batting .308 for the season and has gone deep three times in his last seven games. Byron Buxton has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/25 in his last seven games.
Brewers vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for this Brewers vs. Twins matchup is that the Brewers will come out on top with a final score of 6-5. Given that they are the underdogs, we recommend taking the Brewers on the money line, where they are currently listed at +104.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Freddy Peralta finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing outside of the top 10 among starters. As for Pablo Lopez, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 12th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 20, 2024 Brewers, Twins