Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6/5/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (36-25) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (43-19) on Wednesday, June 5th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Brewers vs Phillies

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Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring one run in the 8th and another in the 10th. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -160 on the money line.

Milwaukee wasted a good outing from Jared Koenig, who gave up just one hit and no earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work. Joel Payamps took the loss. Seranthony Dominguez got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Cristopher Sanchez went six innings, giving up one run on four hits.

Alec Bohm hit the game’s only home run while going 1/5. Blake Perkins also had a two-hit game for the Brewers. Christian Yelich went 2/4.

With an overall record of 36-25, the Brewers lead the NL Central by six games over the Cubs. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of their series vs. the Phillies. So far, they have gone 16-8 in divisional matchups.

As the road team today, the Brewers are 18-15 on the road this season. They have been slightly better at home, going 18-10. Milwaukee has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 11-6-2 this year.

The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 33-28 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 20-13 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 22-9 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential this season is +1.0 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 34-26. The average over/under line for Milwaukee games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-2. Only 6.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Aaron Ashby Gets The Start For The Brewers

Aaron Ashby and the Brewers are on the road to take on the Phillies. Ashby’s first start of the season was a loss, as he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 6 hits. He did strike out 6 batters, but he also gave up a pair of home runs.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Brewers are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and have the 2nd best team batting average in the MLB. Milwaukee also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are near the top of the league in walks.

William Contreras has been a key run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 44 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 6th in the league. He is also hitting .310 and has gone deep 8 times. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also among the league’s top home run hitters, with 9 and 10 homers, respectively. Adames and Hoskins have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Adames hitting .303 and Hoskins batting .314 over their past nine games.

Philadelphia is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 43-19, putting them seven games ahead of the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series, and they have an 11-5 record in divisional games this year.

At home, the Phillies have gone 26-9 this year and are 17-10 on the road. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 27-10. As the favorite, the Phillies are 38-15 this year and 5-4 as the underdog. The Phillies have been good at home when favored, putting together a record of 25-7 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies’ overall series record is 12-4-4, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

When betting the run line with the Phillies, it’s been profitable overall, as they are 34-28 on the run line this season. They’ve been slightly better at home, going 19-16 on the run line, where they have a run differential of 1.9 runs per game. Their average run differential is 1.6 runs per game, and they’ve been favored in 53 of their 62 games, going 29-24 on the run line in those contests.

Despite the Phillies’ combined run average of 8.6, their games have gone under the total in 83.9% of their games this season. Their games have gone under the total in three straight games and in 52 of their 58 games overall. Their games have had an average total of eight runs per game, and their games have had an average total of 8.1 runs per game when the line has been set at nine runs.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Through 12 starts, Aaron Nola has a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.03. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.03 and has pitched one shutout this year. Nola has made eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. In that start vs. the Cardinals, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-0 and 1.88 ERA compared to 3-2 with a 4.6 ERA at home.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Philadelphia comes into the game as the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .255, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs and walks.

Over his last six games, Alec Bohm is batting just .192, but he does have one home run and four runs scored during this stretch. For the season, he is hitting .296 and leads the team with 50 RBIs. Bryce Harper has 14 homers this season and is batting .270 overall and .292 over his last six games.

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction

Given the payout, we really like the Brewers to pick up a win on the money line today. At +152, we see this as a great value pick, and we have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Aaron Ashby finishing with five strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with six. However, we have Ashby finishing with more strikeouts than Nola, and we also have the Brewers finishing with more hits than the Phillies.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.