Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 9/24/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (89-67) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (73-83) on Tuesday, September 24th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-140)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Brewers have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games.
  • Brewers have a 44-34 record on the road this season, compared to the Pirates’ 35-43 home record.
  • Brewers have won 5 of their last 8 away games.
  • Brewers have a 30-19 record within their division, while the Pirates have a 24-25 record.
  • Brewers have outscored the Pirates 20-10 in their last 3 head-to-head games.

Brewers vs Pirates

milwaukee brewers nba

The Brewers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Brewers closed out the series with a 10-9 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -138 on the money line. It was a seven-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Diamondbacks could only score one run in the 3rd. Milwaukee’s offense added another three runs in the 4th to go along with their seven-run 3rd.

Franke Montas only lasted 2 2/3 innings for the Brewers, giving up seven earned runs. Milwaukee’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, as the Brewers scored their final three runs in the 8th to close things out. Jared Koenig got the win out of the bullpen, and Devin Williams picked up the save.

As the Brewers prepare to face the Pirates, they hold a 9.5-game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central with an 89-67 record. Milwaukee has won four straight road series and is 44-34 on the road this season. Their series record is 28-18-3, and they have a 78-78 run line record, including a 43-35 run line mark on the road.

When the total line is set at 8 runs, the Brewers’ O/U record is 12-12-5. This season, their games have gone over the total 79 times out of 146, with an average of 8.8 runs per game.

Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers

Tobias Myers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that September 19th start, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back further, Myers had won two straight starts before that outing. His overall record is 8-6, and he has an ERA of 3.05. Opponents are batting .235 off Myers this season, and he has a total of seven quality starts. Per nine innings, Myers is averaging 8.31 strikeouts and 2.49 walks.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers of late, going 6/13 in his last four games with a home run. For the season, he is batting .285 with 23 homers and 92 RBIs. Willy Adames has also been a big run producer for the Brewers, as his 110 RBIs are 4th in the league, and he is 9th in the MLB with 32 homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.8. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.

The Pirates Are Coming Off A Win

The Pirates’s offense was carried by Oneil Cruz in their most recent game vs. the Reds. Cruz went only 3 innings, but he was 1/3 with a homer and scored both of the Pirates’s runs. Pittsburgh’s other run came in the 1st inning. The Pirates were the slight underdog on the money line going into the game.

Paul Skenes got the start for the Pirates, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out nine Reds batters. Aroldis Chapman closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a 59-35 record on the run line, but as favorites, they are 24-38. Their overall run line record is 83-73, with an average run margin of -0.5 runs per game. Pittsburgh’s over/under record for the season is 75-79, with games averaging 8.7 runs per game.

Pittsburgh is in 5th place in the NL Central, 16 games behind the Brewers. They have a 73-83 overall record and have lost three straight series. At home, the Pirates are 38-40, while on the road, they are 35-43.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Pittsburgh is starting left-hander Bailey Falter vs. the Brewers today. He has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 8-8 with a 4.15 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Falter took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The lefty has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 4.46 compared to 3-5 with a 5.25 ERA on the road.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with 21 and 22 home runs, respectively. Reynolds has also driven in 85 runs, which is the best mark on the team. Cruz comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last five games, while Billy Cook has also gone deep twice in his last six games while batting .294.

Overall, the Pirates offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .236 and are near the bottom of the league in both slugging percentage and OPS.

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -140. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 6-5. At the payout of -140, the Brewers are a good value, and we would recommend locking in this bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Tobias Myers going eight innings and picking up six strikeouts. As for Bailey Falter, he is projected to go six innings and finish with four K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.