The Milwaukee Brewers (90-67) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (73-84) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-155)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Brewers have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- The Brewers have won 9 of their last 15 games, including a recent win against the Pirates with a score of 7-2.
- In their last 5 road games, the Brewers have a record of 4-1.
- The Brewers have outscored their opponents by 22 runs in their last 15 games (93 runs scored vs. 71 runs allowed).
- The Brewers have a season record of 45-34 in away games, compared to the Pirates’ home record of 38-41.
Brewers vs Pirates
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Pirates by a score of 7-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -148 on the money line.
Pittsburgh got on the board first with two runs in the 2nd inning, but the Brewers responded with three runs in the top of the 3rd and added four more in the 7th. As for the Pirates, they didn’t score another run after the 2nd inning.
Tobias Myers only went four innings for the Brewers but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Hoby Milner got the win out of the bullpen. Bailey Falter had a rough outing for the Pirates, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
With a 90-67 record, the Brewers are 9.5 games ahead of the Cubs in the NL Central. Milwaukee is 45-34 on the road and 45-33 at home. As the favorite, they are 53-37 straight up and 44-35 vs. the run line on the road.
This season, the over has hit in 22 of 37 games with a total of 7.5 runs, and the average run total in Brewers games is 8.8 runs. The over/under record for the Brewers is 80-67, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Pirates on the road. This year, he has made 31 starts and has a record of 11-8 with an ERA of 3.69. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his last outing, Peralta finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has a total of 26 home runs allowed this year. Peralta’s strikeout total for the year is 193, and his strikeouts per nine innings figure is 10.32.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee’s offense has been very disciplined at the plate this season, as they are the league’s 2nd ranked team in terms of walks and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the MLB.
Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 32 home runs are 10th in the league. Adames is also 4th in the MLB with 111 RBIs. William Contreras has also been a key run producer for the Brewers, as his 92 RBIs is 2nd on the team, and he is batting .283 for the season.
When favored, the Pirates have a 34-28 record, but as underdogs, they are 39-56. Overall, the Pirates have an 83-74 run line record. They have been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game this season, with a -0.4 run differential on the road and -0.5 at home.
After losing the series opener, the Pirates are 73-84 overall, 17 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Their overall series record this season is 20-24-5. Pittsburgh’s games have averaged 8.7 runs, and their O/U record is 76-79.
Luis L. Ortiz Gets The Start For The Pirates
Luis L. Ortiz will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Cardinals, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Ortiz has given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. His record for the season is 6-6, and he has an ERA of 3.43. Opposing batters are hitting .219 off Ortiz this season. The right-hander has made 14 starts, 18 of which have come at home. Ortiz has a better ERA on the road at 3.42 compared to 4.14 at home.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
Oneil Cruz and Bryan Reynolds have been the Pirates’ top power hitters this season, with 21 and 22 home runs, respectively. Reynolds also comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs, with 85. Cruz is right behind him in this category, with 76 RBIs. Cruz has gone deep twice in his past seven games, but he has just five hits in his last 20 at-bats.
As a team, the Pirates are batting just .236 this season and are averaging 4.1 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Pittsburgh’s team on-base percentage is just .302, and they are 26th in the league in slugging percentage.
Brewers vs Pirates Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Pirates matchup is that the Brewers will pick up a 5-4 road win. With the money line payout for a Brewers win sitting at -155, this is the route we recommend going.
Looking at some potential player props, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Luis L. Ortiz, he is predicted to finish with five K’s, which has him in the middle of the pack.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 25, 2024 Brewers, Pirates