The Milwaukee Brewers (90-68) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84) on Thursday, September 26th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on BSWI. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-121)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• Brewers have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
• Brewers have won 4 of their last 6 road games.
• Brewers have a 4-2 record against the Pirates this season.
• Brewers have a +10 run differential in their last 15 games.
• Brewers have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.

Brewers vs Pirates

Pittsburgh picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run 5th inning, and the Brewers only run came in the 6th. Both offenses finished with just three hits.

Luis L. Ortiz started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Brewers, Freddy Peralta got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

At the plate, Jake Bauers hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 2/4 with an RBI for the Pirates.

As the favorite, Milwaukee is 53-38 straight up, but they have struggled against the run line with a 35-56 record. The Brewers have an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game, and their games have gone over the total 80 times this season, compared to 68 unders.

The Brewers are looking to bounce back today after losing six of their last eight games. They have a 90-68 overall record and are nine games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. On the road, Milwaukee has a 45-35 straight-up record and a 44-36 run line record, with a +1.1 run differential.

Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Pirates. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with a 4.53 ERA. Civale’s WHIP for the season is 1.33. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Civale took the loss vs. the Diamondbacks, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs, including two homers. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.62 compared to 6.61 on the road.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, putting up an average of 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and are also 4th in on-base percentage.

Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 32 home runs are 10th in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 111 RBIs and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. William Contreras has been a solid bat in the lineup as well, hitting .283 with 23 homers.

As underdogs, the Pirates have a 40-56 record this season, and they are 34-28 when favored. Their overall series record is 20-24-5, and they have a run line record of 84-74, including 39-41 at home and 45-33 on the road. The over/under record for games with an 8-run line is 17-20.

Pittsburgh is 74-84 overall and 16 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They have gone 25-26 in divisional games and are looking to snap a three-series losing streak today. The Pirates’ games this season have averaged 8.7 runs, resulting in an over/under record of 76-80.

Mitch Keller Gets The Start For The Pirates

Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. In that outing, which came on September 20th, Keller took the loss and gave up eight earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Looking back further, he has lost three straight starts and has given up at least three earned runs in each of those outings. Keller’s record for the season is 11-11, and his ERA is 4.21. For the year, he has made 30 starts, one of which was a complete game, and he has 15 quality starts.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game, but on the road, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .235, and they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.

Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 22 homers and Cruz right behind him at 21. Reynolds also leads the team with 85 RBIs, and Cruz is 2nd with 76. Cruz has gone deep twice in his last seven games, but he is hitting just .190 over that stretch. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .303 over his last eight games but has gone deep in that stretch.

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction

Our predicted score for this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. Given that we have the Brewers coming out on top, the best way to play this one is to take the Brewers on the money line, where you can get them at -121.

Looking at some potential player props, Mitch Keller is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters in today’s game. As for Aaron Civale, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing fifth among starters.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.