Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/20/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (44-30) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (38-40) on Thursday, June 20th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Brewers vs Padres

milwaukee brewers nba

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 2-0 win. After scoring a run in the 1st inning, the Brewers went on to add another run in the 8th. Milwaukee was the heavy favorite going into the game, at -190.

Freddy Peralta put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Angels batters. Milwaukee’s bullpen closed things out, and Trevor Megill picked up the save.

Milwaukee is on the road today to take on the Padres, and they lead the NL Central by 7.5 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 44-30 overall and have gone 18-9 against other teams in the NL Central. They have won two straight games and closed out their series vs. the Angels with a win.

At home, the Brewers have gone 22-12 this year and are just above .500 at 22-18 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 25-14 this year and 19-16 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 15-7-2, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.

When the Brewers are on the road, they have a run line record of 23-17 and are currently on a two-game run line win streak. Their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game on the road, and they have a run line record of 15-19 at home.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs on average. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-33. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 18-14. So far this season, 12 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 16.2% of their games.

Bryse Wilson Gets The Start For The Brewers

Right-hander Bryse Wilson is starting for the Brewers today as he faces the Padres on the road. Wilson has made 17 appearances this year to go along with eight starts. His record for the season is 4-3, and he comes in with an ERA of 3.84. In his 63 1/3 innings of work, Wilson has allowed a total of nine home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Wilson picked up the win out of the bullpen, going 5 1/3 innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had lost three straight appearances. Wilson’s ERA on the road is 8.77 compared to 3.08 at home.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/21 in his last five games, including one home run. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .304 with nine homers and 48 RBIs, which is 2nd and 9th in the league, respectively. Willy Adames has a team-high 12 homers but is batting just .240 for the season and has gone 3/19 in his last six games.

As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .252, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB.

The Padres are coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +160 on the money line. It was a big second inning for the Padres, as they scored their first run of the game and added three more runs in the 2nd. San Diego’s offense was hot right out of the gates, and the Phillies could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

Matt Waldron put together a good start for the Padres, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Diego’s offense was carried by Jackson Merrill, who went 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

San Diego will open their series vs. the Brewers nine games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. Overall, the Padres are 38-40, and they are 14-15 in divisional games. The Padres lost two of three in their series vs. the Phillies.

At home, the Padres are 18-21 this season and 20-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 24-23 and 14-17 as the underdog. San Diego has won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 13-10-3.

San Diego’s run line record is 40-38 overall, but they’ve been much better on the road (27-12) than at home (13-26). They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 21-10 against the run line, compared to 19-28 as the favorite. The Padres’ average run differential is +0.1, and they’ve been outscored by 0.5 runs per game at home.

San Diego has a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and the Padres have gone over the total in 38 of their 77 games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 8.5 runs, and the Padres have gone over that line in 8 of their 19 games with a total set at 8.5 this season. San Diego has gone under the total in 59% of their games this season, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Adam Mazur Gets The Start For The Padres

Adam Mazur will be making his third start of the season for the Padres, and he will be facing the Brewers at home. In his first start, he went 6 innings but took a no-decision, and then he struggled in his second start, giving up 8 runs in 3 innings. He’s looking to bounce back after a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Padres are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, the Padres are the 2nd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. They also have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both in the top 15 in the league in home runs this season, with 10 and 13, respectively. Profar’s 47 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 10th in the league. He is also on a four-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez and Jurickson Profar are both hitting over .320 for the season.

Brewers vs Padres Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, and we are recommending taking them on the money line at -103. If you’re looking for a parlay, the over/under is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined 11 runs, making the over a good option.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Mazur finishing with five strikeouts compared to Bryse Wilson with four. Wilson does have the better ERA projection, but we have Mazur going deeper into the game and finishing with the win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.