St.-Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5/27/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (25-26) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (23-30) on Monday, May 27th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Cardinals vs Reds

st. louis cardinals nba

Paul Goldschmidt had a big game at the plate in the Cardinals’ most recent game vs. the Cubs, going 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs. The Cardinals really needed his offense, as they only scored four runs on six hits. Goldschmidt’s first homer came in the 3rd inning, and the Cardinals added another two runs in the inning. He went deep again in the 7th to give the Cardinals the lead. St. Louis’s bullpen closed things out, and Ryan Helsley picked up the save.

Sonny Gray started for the Cardinals, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Cubs batters. However, the Cardinals pulled him after only json inning of work, and Chicago scored two runs to tie things up. Alec Burleson was hot early, going 2/4 with a run scored.

St. Louis is on a five-game winning streak, and they are 25-26 overall this season. The Cardinals are 4.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they are 3-6 in divisional games this year. St. Louis closed out their series vs. the Cubs with two straight wins.

As the road underdog, the Cardinals are 7-10 this year, and they are 12-14 as the road underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 9-8, and they have won four straight series. So far, they have been an even 14-13 as the favorite and 11-13 as the underdog.

When betting the run line in St. Louis Cardinals games this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They’ve covered the run line in 25 of 51 games, but have been a better bet as the underdog, going 15-9. The Cardinals have been a run line underdog in 24 games, and they’ve covered in 15 of them. In their 26 games as the favorite, they’ve covered the run line just 10 times.

St. Louis is on the road today, and the O/U line for their game against the Reds is set at 9.5 runs. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 24-25. Their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the O/U record is 1-0. This is only the second time this season that an O/U line for a Cardinals game has been set at 9.5 runs.

Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Right-hander Lance Lynn is starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.68. Lynn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.34. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three starts, Lynn has given up at least four earned runs in each outing. So far, he has made two quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Lynn is averaging 8.42 strikeouts and 3.51 walks.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 26th in the league in runs per game at 3.9. This is a result of being near the bottom of the league in home runs and having a team batting average of just .234. However, the team does have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late. Alec Burleson is on a 10-game hitting streak and is 13/32 in his last eight games. Nolan Gorman has also been hot, going 8/21 with three homers in his last seven games.

So far, Brendan Donovan has been the Cardinals’ top power threat, as his four homers are 14th in the league and good for 1st on the team. He also leads the team with 25 RBIs. Nolan Gorman and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for 2nd on the team with six homers. Gorman is batting just .217 for the season, but Goldschmidt is hitting just .222.

The Reds pulled off a big upset to close out their series vs. the Dodgers, picking up a 4-1 win. Cincinnati was the +177 underdog at home going into this matchup. It was a four-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Dodgers could only score one run, which came in the 9th.

Brent Suter only lasted two-thirds of an inning in his start for the Reds, but Cincinnati’s bullpen was excellent, going a total of 8 1/3 innings. Nick Martini was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two RBIs.

Cincinnati is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 23-30, which has them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 7.5 games in the division. The Reds have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with three straight wins.

At home, the Reds are 13-15 this season compared to a 10-15 mark on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 20 games, going 10-10 as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, it is 13-20 this year. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 5-11-1 this season.

When betting the run line on the Reds, it’s been better to back them on the road this season, where they are 16-9 against the run line. They are 12-16 at home against the run line, and their average run margin is -0.1 runs per game. When they win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, while their average margin of defeat is -3.1 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 19-14 against the run line.

The Cincinnati Reds have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 25-26. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, the Reds are 10-2. In 73.6% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at less than 9.5 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 9.5 runs.

Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA. Lodolo’s WHIP for the season is .94, and opponents are batting .182 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Lodolo has a total of two quality starts this year and is averaging 11.06 strikeouts per nine innings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, but he has struggled at the plate of late, going 8/39 in his last 10 games. Overall, he is batting .247 with a team-high nine homers. Spencer Steer has also struggled of late, with a batting average of just .230 for the season and a mark of 5/29 in his last nine games. However, he does have six homers and 35 RBIs, which is 10th in the MLB.

Stuart Fairchild has been swinging the bat well for the Reds, going 7/19 in his last nine games, including two homers. Tyler Stephenson has also been swinging the bat well, going 8/26 in his last eight games. As a team, the Reds are batting just .218, which is 20th in the league, and are averaging only 4.2 runs per game.

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction

Our predictions for this one have the Reds picking up a 5-4 win over the Cardinals. Given that they are at -135 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nick Lodolo finishing with nine strikeouts compared to Lance Lynn with six. Lynn is also projected to give up four runs compared to Lodolo, who we have giving up just two.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.