St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5/28/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (25-27) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (24-30) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Cardinals vs Reds

st. louis cardinals nba

Cincinnati picked up a 3-1 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 2nd inning and added an insurance run in the 5th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -160 on the money line.

Nick Lodolo got the win for the Reds, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Cardinals, Lance Lynn got the start and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Jeimer Candelario, who went 1/3 with a home run and two RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt hit the only home run for the Cardinals, going 1/4.

St. Louis is 25-27 overall and are 3rd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 5.5 games. The Cardinals have struggled against other NL Central teams, going 3-7 so far. They are looking to bounce back today, as they lost the series opener vs. the Reds.

So far, the Cardinals have been good in the favorite role, going 14-13, and they are 11-14 as the underdog. St. Louis has won four straight series, and their overall record has them just below .500. At home, the Cardinals are 13-12 compared to 12-15 on the road.

When the Cardinals have been favored, they have been a poor bet on the run line, going just 10-17. As an underdog, they have been much better, going 15-10. Overall, they are 25-27 on the run line, with an average run margin of -0.8 runs per game. They have been better at home, going 13-12 on the run line, compared to 12-15 on the road. Their average run margin at home is -0.6, compared to -1.0 on the road.

The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Cardinals games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 24-26. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 1-1. Overall, the average over/under line for Cardinals games this season is 8 runs, and their under streak is at 2 games.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

St. Louis is sending right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.81. Opponents have a batting average of .240 vs. Gibson this season. Looking back at his last outing, Gibson finished with a no-decision vs. the Orioles. In that start, he went four innings and gave up three earned runs, three walks, and five hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Gibson’s ERA at home is 4.0 compared to 3.36 on the road.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

Paul Goldschmidt has been on a tear for the Cardinals as of late, as he is on an 8-game hitting streak and has gone 9/34 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. For the season, Goldschmidt is batting just .222, but his seven homers are the 2nd most on the team. Brendan Donovan leads the team with 25 RBIs but is batting just .228.

As a team, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .233 and have the league’s 17th best home run total. St. Louis has three players who have hit at least eight homers this season, but all three are batting below .230.

Cincinnati is 24-30 overall and 7.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Reds have won four straight games, and they are 2-2 in divisional games this year. Cincinnati’s four-game winning streak has come at home, where they are 14-15 this year.

As the underdog, the Reds are 13-20 this year and 11-10 when favored. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 5-11-1 this year heading into today’s game vs. the Cardinals. The Reds are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.

When betting the run line on the Reds this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road. They are 16-9 against the run line in road games, compared to 13-16 at home. They have covered the run line in four straight games at home, but overall, they are just 10-11 against the run line as the favorite and 19-14 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.1 in losing games.

The Cincinnati Reds have an over/under record of 25-27 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.3 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the St. Louis Cardinals is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds have played in 10 games with an over/under line of 9.5 runs this season, going over the total in 10 of those games. Overall, 72.2% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 9.5-run total.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals at home. So far this season, he has made 10 starts, and his record is 3-4 with an ERA of 2.68. In his 10 starts, Abbott has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 6.79 strikeouts per nine innings. Abbott’s most recent outing was a gem, as he went seven innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Looking back further, he has allowed two earned runs in three straight outings. Abbott’s ERA at home is 2.32 compared to 3.22 on the road.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Spencer Steer has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters of late, going 6/21 in his last six games with two homers and four RBIs. Steer is also on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting just .231, but his 35 RBIs are the best on the team and 10th in the league. Elly De La Cruz and Will Benson are the Reds’ top home run hitters, with nine and seven homers, respectively.

As a team, the Reds are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They also have one of the worst batting averages in the league at .217. However, they are 6th in the league in walks and have the 11th most home runs in the league.

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction

There is a lot of value in taking the Reds on the money line at -124. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the payout at -124, this is the route we recommend going.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kyle Gibson lasting longer in this one than Andrew Abbott. However, Gibson is projected to give up a lot of hits and finish with five strikeouts. As for Abbott, he is projected to finish with five K’s as well and give up four earned runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.