The St. Louis Cardinals (60-58) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (57-61) on Monday, August 12th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Cardinals vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+110)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Reds have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games, indicating strong offensive potential.
- The Reds have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games, showing a recent home-field advantage.
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, demonstrating competitiveness against strong opponents.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 3 wins, highlighting their ability to secure decisive victories.
- The Reds have a 3-1 record in their last 4 games against the Cardinals, suggesting favorable head-to-head performance.
Cardinals vs Reds
The Reds Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with an 8-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 2nd inning before the Royals scored two runs in the 3rd to take the lead. Kansas City really broke things open with a four-run 7th inning. St. Louis’s offense scored their only three runs in the 2nd.
Andre Pallante got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but the Cardinals offense scored eight times in the 7th. Paul Goldschmidt was hot early, going 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
St. Louis has an over/under record of 58-57 this season, with games averaging 8.7 runs. They are 31-29 as favorites and 38-20 as underdogs. The Cardinals are 29-31 on the road and 31-27 at home. In their last 10 games, they are 4-6 and are 7.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, they are 30-30 on the road and 28-30 at home, and 38-20 as underdogs. Their average run margin in wins is +2.7, and it’s -3.6 in losses. The over has hit in three straight games for St. Louis, and their O/U record in games with a total of 9 runs is 10-9-1.
Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Rays, he gave up just four hits and issued one walk. Gray finished with six strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, Gray has made 21 starts and has a record of 11-6. His ERA for the season is 3.65, along with a WHIP of 1.07. Opponents have a batting average of .214 vs. Gray this season. Out of his 21 appearances, Gray has turned in 10 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.96 strikeouts. Gray’s ERA on the road is 5.26 compared to 2.87 at home.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts. St. Louis comes into the game with a team OPS of .699, which is 16th in the league.
St. Louis will be looking for big games from Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman, as Burleson leads the team with 20 homers, and Gorman is right behind him with 19. Burleson also leads the team with 67 RBIs, while Gorman is 4th on the team with 50 RBIs. Brendan Donovan has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/18 in his last five games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
The Reds Are Coming Off A Win
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Brewers in the 2nd inning, the Reds responded with two runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Reds was Nick Lodolo, who picked up the win. He went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on just three hits. Lodolo also issued three walks and struck out four Brewers batters. Tyler Stephenson was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Reds also had three other players with a hit.
Heading into today’s game, the Reds are 57-61 overall and are 4th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10.5 games. They are just a game behind the Cubs for 3rd place in the division. Cincinnati’s overall series record this season is 14-20-3, and they are coming off a series loss to the Brewers.
On the run line, the Reds have been profitable as underdogs, posting a 38-24 record. Their average run margin in wins is +3.8 runs per game. The Reds’ games have averaged 8.5 runs per contest this season, and when the O/U line is set at 9 runs, the under has hit in 18 of 25 games.
Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.70 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has a WHIP of 1.31 and has issued 3.49 walks per nine innings compared to 7.41 strikeouts. Abbott has turned in eight quality starts this year. In his last outing, he gave up six earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had lost two straight starts, giving up at least two homers in each outing.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, as he has gone 12/34 (.353) over his last eight games, with two homers and five RBIs. De La Cruz is currently leading the Reds in home runs and is 3rd on the team in RBIs. Overall, he is batting .264 for the season. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .233 for the season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 11th in home runs. Cincinnati comes into the game with a team batting average of just .230, which is 24th in the MLB.
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction
With the Reds coming in as the underdog at +110, we see this as a great opportunity to grab some value on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Reds, giving you some room to take them on the run line if you would like.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Sonny Gray is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 10th among starters. As for the Reds’ starter, Andrew Abbott, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is fifth worst. However, Abbott is projected to finish with fewer hits and earned runs than Gray.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 12, 2024 Cardinals, Reds