St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5/11/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (15-23) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (23-15) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on FOX. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 7:15 ET.

Cardinals vs Brewers

st. louis cardinals nba

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Cardinals by a score of 11-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -124 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Lance Lynn for the Cardinals and Robert Gasser for the Brewers. Lynn only went 4 2/3 innings while giving up four hits and four earned runs. On the other side, Gasser put together a good outing, going six innings and striking out four without giving up a run.

Milwaukee’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as Willy Adames, Jake Bauers, Christian Yelich, and Rhys Hoskins each had two hits and combined for eight RBIs. Adames and Hoskins each scored twice for the Brewers’ offense.

St. Louis is on the road today, and they have dropped six straight games, and all of these losses have come against other NL Central teams. So far, they are 0-5 in the division, and they trail the Brewers by eight games. The Cardinals overall are 15-23 this season.

At home, the Cardinals are just 6-11 this year, and they are only one game above .500 at 9-12 on the road. So far, they have struggled in day games, going 5-15 this year. St. Louis is also just 8-12 as the favorite and 7-11 as the underdog. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 5-7, and they have dropped three straight series.

When the Cardinals are on the road, they are a poor bet against the run line, going 10-11. They have lost three in a row against the run line on the road, and their average run margin in those games is -1.2. They are 7-13 against the run line as the favorite and 11-7 as the underdog.

St. Louis has been on a bit of an over streak lately, with the over hitting in three straight games. Their games have had an average of 8.1 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 15-22 on the year. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in just two of their 11 games with a line set at that number this season.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made five straight quality starts and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has made seven starts, and opponents are batting .231 this season. In his 44 innings of work, Gibson has allowed six homers and is averaging 6.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision against the Mets, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. The Cardinals won that game 7-2.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been one of the worst in the league, as they are averaging just 3.4 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. This lack of scoring is due to their poor team batting average (.215), and they are also near the bottom of the league in both slugging percentage and OPS. As a team, they are also just 19th in home runs.

One of the few bright spots for the Cardinals offense has been the play of Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras, as they are both hitting .280 this season. Arenado has two homers and 20 RBIs, while Contreras has gone deep six times and has 12 RBIs. Arenado is also on a six-game hitting streak. Over his last four games, Alec Burleson is 5/14 with a home run and three RBIs.

Milwaukee is currently 23-15 overall, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central. They hold a half-game lead over the Cubs and have gone 10-5 against other teams in the division. The Brewers have picked up two straight wins and closed out the series with the Cardinals.

At home, the Brewers are 9-7 this year and have been really good on the road at 14-8. Milwaukee has been excellent in day games, going 15-6 so far. As the favorite, the Brewers are 10-6 and 13-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 6-4-2 and have dropped two straight series.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per victory. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just 20-18, with a run line record of 6-10 at home and 14-8 on the road. They are currently on a four-game run line winning streak and are 15-7 against the run line as the underdog.

With a combined run average of 9.4, the Milwaukee Brewers have been involved in high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 23-15, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-4. In their last four games, the over has hit each time, and in 71.1% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 7.5 runs.

Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers

Freddy Peralta has made three quality starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 3.49. In his most recent outing, Peralta took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs to the Cubs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 0.98, and he is averaging 11.64 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of four home runs. Peralta has made seven starts and seven appearances this year.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

milwaukee brewers

William Contreras comes into the game as one of the league’s top hitters, as he is batting .340 for the season and has gone 11/34 in his last nine games. During this stretch, he has scored eight runs and driven in seven. Rhys Hoskins has struggled a bit of late, going 6/29 in his last eight games, but he does have a team-high eight homers. Willy Adames has gone deep three times in his last nine games and is batting .265 for the season.

As a team, the Brewers are 3rd in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and have been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams. Overall, they are batting .256 and have the league’s 4th best on-base percentage. Currently, Rhys Hoskins, William Contreras, and Brice Turang are all on four-game hitting streaks.

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, and with the money line payout for a Brewers win sitting at -174, we would recommend taking the over at 7.5 runs. Our projections have the Brewers finishing with 9 hits compared to the Cardinals with 8.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Freddy Peralta finishing with six strikeouts compared to Kyle Gibson with five. Peralta is also one of the best in terms of picking up a win, and his payout to win the NL Cy Young is also worth a look.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.