The St. Louis Cardinals (15-21) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (21-15) on Thursday, May 9th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. Both the Cardinals and Brewers are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Cardinals vs Brewers
The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 7-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Mets scored six runs in the top of the 5th. St. Louis was the -123 favorite at home going into the game.
Alec Burleson had a good day at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Cardinals really need Miles Mikolas to step up, as he took the loss and only lasted four innings, giving up six earned runs. St. Louis’s offense scored their other two runs in the 3rd inning.
St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Brewers, coming in with a record of 15-21, which has them 5th in the NL Central. The Cardinals are six games behind the Brewers for the division lead and went 0-3 in their most recent series vs. the Mets.
So far, the Cardinals have really struggled in day games, going 5-15. They are just above .500 on the road at 9-10 compared to 6-11 at home. St. Louis has dropped four straight games, and this losing streak has come as the favorite. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 8-11 and 7-10 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 5-7, and they have dropped three straight series.
St. Louis has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 18-18 against the run line. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 10-9 against the run line, compared to 8-9 at home. They have been an underdog in 17 of their 26 games and are 11-6 against the run line in those games. They have been favored 19 times and are just 7-12 against the run line in those games.
The St. Louis Cardinals have had a combined run average of 8.0 this season, and their over/under record is 13-22. When the over/under line has been set at 8, their record is 1-4-1. This season, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8, and 30.6% of their games have had lower lines. Their last 10 games have had combined run totals of 12, 7, 6, 11, 3, 5, 17, 3, 6, and 11 runs.
Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Sonny Gray has been off to a strong start for the Cardinals, and he’ll be looking to improve to 3-0 on the year as he takes on the Brewers. Gray has a win in each of his first two starts, and he’s coming off a 7-inning outing against the White Sox in which he struck out 6 and only gave up 3 hits.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .218 and have the league’s worst home run total so far this season.
Over his last eight games, Nolan Arenado has gone 10/29 with one home run and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .287 with two homers. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but Donovan is batting just .223, and Gorman is hitting only .175.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Royals scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Milwaukee was the +101 underdog on the money line going into the game.
Joe Ross had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on just three hits. He also issued two walks and took the loss out of the Brewers bullpen. Gary Sanchez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Brewers also had a big 3rd inning, with Brice Turang scoring their first run and going 3/4 with a run scored.
Milwaukee is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 21-15, which has them tied with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers and Cubs are also tied for the division lead, and they are both 0.5 games ahead of the Cardinals. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-4-2, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Brewers are 7-7 this year and have gone 14-8 on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 12-9 this year, and they are 9-6 when favored. Their overall record includes an 8-5 mark in divisional matchups.
When the Brewers win, they tend to do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 14-8 run line record on the road, compared to a 4-10 mark at home. Overall, they’re 18-18 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Brewers’ season average, as their games have averaged 9.3 runs per contest. The over has hit in 21 of their 36 games this season, including each of their last two games, which were against the Royals. The over has hit in 63.9% of their games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 23 of their games, with the over going 0-3 in those contests.
Tobias Myers Gets The Start For The Brewers
Through his first 3 starts of the season, Tobias Myers has yet to pick up a win, as he has a loss and a no-decision. He has given up 9 runs over 13 innings of work and has struck out 11 batters. Myers has given up 2 homers in his last start, which was a loss to the Cubs.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, hitting .329 for the season and .275 over his last 10 games. He is also 1st on the team with 29 RBIs. Willy Adames is on a three-game hitting streak and is also 2nd on the team with seven homers. His 13 RBIs over his last 10 games are the most on the team during this stretch, but he is batting just .231.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s best hitting teams, with a team batting average of .253. In terms of on-base percentage, they are 3rd in the league at .332.
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line at +106. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, and we recommend sticking with a Brewers win.
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, we have Sonny Gray’s chances of getting a win as the fourth best among today’s starters. However, our projections have Gray going just five innings and finishing with seven strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 9, 2024 Brewers, Cardinals