St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction 4/28/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (13-14) travel to face off against the New York Mets (13-13) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.

Cardinals vs Mets

st. louis cardinals nba

It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Mets by a score of 7-4. The Cardinals offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -137 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Sonny Gray for the Cardinals and Adrian Houser for the Mets. Gray only went six innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Houser was tagged for two homers and six runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

New York’s biggest inning came in the 5th when they scored four of their four runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored four of their seven runs in the 1st. After that, they only scored more than one run in an inning one more time, which was the 8th when they scored their final run.

St. Louis will be looking to get back to .500 today, as they are 13-14 overall and have won three straight games. So far, they have yet to win a game against a fellow NL Central team, going 0-3, and they are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Cardinals won the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Mets.

At home, the Cardinals are 5-7 this season compared to an 8-7 mark on the road. St. Louis has been good as the road favorite, going 3-1 this year. As for their overall record as the favorite, they are 7-6 and 6-8 as the underdog. So far, they have an even series record of 4-4.

The Cardinals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-11 overall. They have been especially good when playing as the underdog, going 10-4. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while it drops to -3.9 in losses.

The St. Louis Cardinals have an over/under record of 10-16 this season, and the over has hit in 51.9% of their games. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, and their combined run average for the season is also 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 1-2-1.

Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Lance Lynn and the Cardinals are on the road to take on the Mets. Lynn has started 3 games this season and has a win and two no-decisions. In his last outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs on 7 hits and 3 walks, but he did strike out 7 batters.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

St. Louis comes into the game with the league’s worst home run total and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of runs scored. As a team, they are batting just .221 and averaging 3.6 runs per game. The Cardinals do have a few hitters who are swinging the bat well right now, as Willson Contreras has gone deep four times this season while batting .289, and Nolan Arenado is hitting .284.

Nolan Gorman has also gone deep four times this season but is batting just .204. However, he has gone 6/16 in his last five games. Paul Goldschmidt has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/20 in his last five games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

After dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals, the Mets are 13-13 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Braves by 5.5 games in the division. New York lost the final game of their series vs. the Giants and have dropped the first two games of this series.

At home, the Mets are 6-8 this year compared to 7-5 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the underdog, having lost four straight games when not favored. As the favorite, the Mets are 7-7 this year, and they are 5-3 in series so far.

The Mets have been a .500 team on the run line this season, but they have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 8-4 on the run line on the road, compared to 5-9 at home. They have been an underdog in 12 of their 26 games, going 7-5 on the run line in those contests. In games they have won, they have won by an average of 3.8 runs per game, while in games they have lost, they have lost by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

The Mets’ game against the Cardinals has an over/under line of 8 runs, which is right around the average for Mets games this season. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 14-12 on the season. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over/under record is 1-1.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana will be taking the mound for the Mets today as they host the Cardinals. Quintana has started 3 games so far this season, and he is coming off of a 5-inning outing in which he took the loss against the Giants. He has yet to record a win or a loss, as he has a win and 2 no-decisions on the year.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 13th in the league, and are 6th in the league in home runs. New York has been one of the toughest teams to strike out this season, but they are just 14th in the league in walks.

Starling Marte has been on a roll for the Mets, going 10/29 in his last seven games, and he is batting .288 for the season. Pete Alonso is hitting just .252 overall, but he does have a team-high eight homers. Alonso has also gone deep three times in his last eight games, while Francisco Lindor is also on a hot streak, going 10/33 in his last eight games.


Cardinals vs Mets Prediction


Getting the Mets at -123 is a good value pick, as we have them winning this game 5-4. With the money line, you are getting a better payout than if you were to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Lance Lynn finishing with five strikeouts and Jose Quintana with five as well. However, Quintana has a better chance of picking up a win, as he is ninth among starters compared to Lynn at 14th.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.