St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6/1/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (27-28) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (40-18) on Saturday, June 1st. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on FOX. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.

Cardinals vs Phillies

st. louis cardinals nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Phillies vs Cardinals series. Philadelphia went into the matchup as -208 favorites and squeaked out a 4-2 win. St. Louis had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 7th inning, but the Phillies bullpen shut them down, and Jeff Hoffman got the save.

Miles Mikolas got the start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He took the loss in the game. Aaron Nola put together a good outing for the Phillies, getting the win after going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

At the plate, Brandon Crawford was the only player for either team to have more than one hit. He went 2/2 with a home run. Edmundo Sosa also had a two-hit game for the Phillies.

St. Louis is 27-28 overall and trails the Brewers by six games in the NL Central. So far, they are just 5-7 against other NL Central teams. The Cardinals are on the road today, and they are 14-16 on the road this year.

The Cardinals have won five straight series, and they have an overall series record of 10-8 this year. St. Louis’ overall record is a result of going 13-12 at home. They lost the series opener vs. the Phillies but have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line with the Cardinals, it’s been better to take them as the underdog. They are 17-11 ATS as the underdog, compared to 10-17 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 27-28, and their average run margin is -0.7 runs per game.

Despite their recent under streak, the St. Louis Cardinals have seen a high percentage of their games this season with over/under lines set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 24-29 on the season. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the average line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs.

Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, Gray has made nine starts and has a record of 7-2. His ERA is an impressive 2.60, and opponents are batting just .199 off the right-hander this year. Gray has made four quality starts and is averaging 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Gray didn’t give up a run in five innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .235, which is 13th in the league. Currently, they are 18th in home runs and have a collective OPS of .679.

Nolan Arenado is batting .257 for the season and has gone deep five times. However, he is just 2/16 in his last four games. Paul Goldschmidt has also struggled of late, going 5/18 in his last five games. However, he does have three homers in that stretch. Nolan Gorman has gone 2/19 in his last five games but does have two homers in that stretch.

With an overall record of 40-18, the Phillies lead the NL East by 6.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals and have an 11-5 record in the division. They have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Phillies are 23-8 this season, and they have gone 17-10 on the road. So far, the Phillies have been really good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 35-14. As the underdog, they are 5-4 this year. In games played at night, the Phillies are 25-9 this season.

When the Phillies win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is 3.8 runs per game, and they are 32-26 against the run line this season. They have covered the run line in five straight games and are 17-14 at home against the run line this season.

When the Philadelphia Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in just five of 15 games with that line. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 27-28.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 9-1 and an ERA of 1.75. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and one of them was a complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.62 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The left-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.86 compared to 4-1 with a 2.02 ERA on the road.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Philadelphia comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, scoring an average of 5.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .258, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging.

Over his last 10 games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 14/37 with two homers and seven RBIs. Alec Bohm has been a consistent run producer for the Phillies, as his 47 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the league. Bohm is also 2nd on the team with a batting average of .307.

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, giving us a good amount of value taking them on the money line at -149. We would jump on this now, as we could see this line moving closer to -160 by first pitch.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with six strikeouts, compared to Ranger Suarez with four. Suarez has better chances of picking up the win and is also projected to go deeper into the game, giving him the edge over Gray.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.