The St. Louis Cardinals (46-41) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (41-47) on Saturday, July 6th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Nationals (-130)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Nationals have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
- The Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (19-22) compared to the Cardinals’ away win percentage (22-23).
- The Nationals have outscored their opponents by an average of 2.5 runs per game in their last 4 home wins.
- The Nationals have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
Cardinals vs Nationals
It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Nationals series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -159 favorites and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Cardinals had to rally late, scoring one run in the 8th and another in the 9th to pick up the win.
Washington wasted a good outing from Patrick Corbin, as he gave up just three earned runs in five innings of work for the Nationals. Dylan Floro took the loss. Ryan Helsley got the win out of the bullpen for the Cardinals as Sonny Gray went five innings, giving up five earned runs.
Offensively, the Cardinals were led by Willson Contreras, Nolan Arenado, and Nolan Gorman, as they were the only three Cardinals hitters to have more than one hit. Contreras and Gorman each homered in the win.
St. Louis has a 46-41 record and is five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They have won two straight games and are 13-12 against divisional opponents this season. The Cardinals’ overall series record is 15-11-2, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Cardinals have been more profitable as underdogs, with a 28-16 record. As favorites, they are 16-27 vs. the run line. The average run total in their games this season is 8.4, and they have gone over the line 39 times in 84 games. In games with a total of 9 runs, the over has hit 6 times, the under 5 times, and there has been one push.
Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Lance Lynn is coming off a strong outing for the Cardinals, as he didn’t allow a run in six innings of work vs. the Reds on June 30th. He ended up with the win in that outing. Looking back further, Lynn has given up three earned runs in three of his last four starts. Lynn has a record of 4-3 this season and an ERA of 3.59. Opposing batters are hitting .236 off Lynn this season. Out of his 17 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Per nine innings, Lynn is averaging 8.62 strikeouts and 3.18 walks.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been one of the league’s worst, as they are 25th in the league in runs per game at 4.0. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .241, which is 11th in the league, and have the 17th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Nolan Gorman has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 17 home runs is 9th in the league. However, he is batting just .195 so far this season. Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson have been the team’s most consistent hitters, as they are 2nd and 5th in batting average, respectively. Burleson’s 13 homers is 2nd on the team, and Donovan is 4th with 8 homers.
Washington is 4th in the NL East with a 41-47 record, trailing the Phillies by 17 games. They have struggled lately, going 3-7 in their last 10 games and are down 0-1 in the current series vs. the Cardinals. Against the run line, the Nationals are 51-37 on the season and 44-29 as underdogs.
For the season, the Nationals and their opponents have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 41-43. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-6-2, and 16 of their games have had O/U lines of 9 runs, making up 18.2% of their games.
MacKenzie Gore Gets The Start For The Nationals
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 3.47. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.37, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Gore finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The left-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense is batting a collective .236 this season, which is 13th in the majors, but they are just 20th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been even worse in the power department, as their 72 homers is 23rd in the league. However, they do have three players with at least 10 homers, including CJ Abrams, who is batting .279 and is 13th in the league with 45 RBIs.
Luis Garcia Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/24 in his last seven games with three homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .271, and he is 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs. Jesse Winker and Garcia Jr. are both on three-game hitting streaks coming into the game.
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line at -130. We actually have the Nationals winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving us some wiggle room to take them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, we have MacKenzie Gore finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing as the seventh highest among starters today. As for Lance Lynn, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing as the 11th highest among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 6, 2024 Cardinals, Nationals