Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7/10/2024

The Chicago Cubs (43-49) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-34) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MARQ. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.

Cubs vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-173)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have a strong home record, winning 6 out of their last 8 home games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 7 games, showcasing their offensive strength.
  • The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record, such as the Cubs.
  • Baltimore has a higher league rank (2nd in AL) compared to the Cubs (12th in NL), indicating overall better performance this season.
  • The Orioles have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, scoring 79 runs while allowing 83, indicating competitive games and potential for high-scoring wins.

Cubs vs Orioles

chicago cubs nba

Chicago cruised to a 9-2 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were at +161 on the money line.

Jameson Taillon pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and got the win. On the other side, Dean Kremer only went four innings for the Orioles and gave up five earned runs.

At the plate, the Cubs were led by Michael Busch, who went 4/6 with a home run. Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki each had two hits and two RBIs. As for the Orioles, Jordan Westburg hit the game’s only other home run and went 1/4.

Chicago is 5th in the NL Central with a 43-49 record, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. The Cubs have won two straight games and are 5-5 in their last 10. Their series record is 10-17-2, and they are up 1-0 in their current series vs. the Orioles.

As underdogs, the Cubs have a 21-27 straight-up record and a 31-17 run line record. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their O/U record at 8.5 runs is 9-9, with 29.3% of their games having that total.

Shota Imanaga Gets The Start For The Cubs

Left-hander Shota Imanaga is getting the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 3.17. Imanaga’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Imanaga has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings. One of his 10 quality starts came in his most recent outing. Opponents are batting .239 off Imanaga this season.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cubs offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .230, which is 16th in the league, and they are also 16th in home runs. Chicago’s offense is near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage, OPS, and isolated power.

Christopher Morel and Ian Happ have been the Cubs’ top power threats this season, with Morel leading the team with 15 homers and Happ right behind him with 14. Morel is batting just .199, while Happ comes in with a batting average of .244. Happ has been hot of late, going 11/28 in his last nine games with four homers.

Currently, the Orioles are leading the AL East with a 57-34 record, holding a three-game lead over the Yankees. They have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 20-6-3. Baltimore’s run line record as underdogs is 13-4, but as favorites, it drops to 38-36.

When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles have gone over in 15 out of 25 games. Their games this season have averaged 9.2 runs, resulting in a 47-34 over/under record. The Orioles are currently on a three-game over streak.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Cubs at home. Burnes has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 2.32 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Burnes has a WHIP of 1.02 and has issued just 2 walks per nine innings. Burnes has turned in 14 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.39 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Burnes finished with a no-decision, giving up 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are also the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS. Baltimore also has the best isolated power (ISO) in the MLB.

Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak and is batting .293 for the season with 27 homers and 61 RBIs. Anthony Santander has 23 homers but is batting just .232 for the season. However, he has gone 10/38 (.263) over his last 10 games.

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, as we have the Orioles winning by a final score of 5-4. However, with the money line payout, we would recommend taking the over (-111) as opposed to the Orioles (-173).

Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 11th best among starters. As for Shota Imanaga, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fifth best among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.