Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7/9/2024

The Chicago Cubs (42-49) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-33) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.

Cubs vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-153)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
  • Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Orioles have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Orioles have a better overall record (57-33) compared to the Cubs (42-49).
  • Orioles have a higher league rank (1st in AL East) compared to the Cubs (13th in NL Central).
  • Orioles have a positive run differential in their last 5 home games (+10).

Cubs vs Orioles

chicago cubs nba

The Cubs Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Cubs closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -147. Offensively, the Cubs only scored their five runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Hayden Wesneski got the start for the Cubs, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two. Michael Busch was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Chicago’s overall series record is 10-17-2, and they have a 43-48 run line record for the season. The Cubs have struggled as favorites, going 13-31 against the run line, but have a strong 30-17 record as underdogs. When the Cubs win, they do so by an average of 3.1 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game.

The Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers, with a 42-49 overall record. On the road, Chicago is 17-28 straight up and 25-20 against the run line. The under has hit in their last three games, and the O/U line for today’s game in Baltimore is set at 9.5 runs.

Jameson Taillon Gets The Start For The Cubs

Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 with a 2.99 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he pitched well, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He picked up the win in that start. Looking back over his last four outings, Taillon has alternated between wins and losses. Opponents are batting .244 this year off Taillon, and he has given up a total of 10 homers.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cubs have been one of the worst hitting teams in the league, coming in with a team batting average of just .229. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their collective slugging percentage of .369 is also 21st in the league. One thing they have done well is draw walks, as they are 4th in the league in that category. Chicago is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league.

Coming into the game, Ian Happ has been swinging a hot bat for the Cubs, hitting .367 with four homers over his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting just .241, but his 13 homers are 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Christopher Morel leads the Cubs with 15 homers but has a batting average of just .199.

The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win

The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing three runs in the top of the first, the Orioles responded with four runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Grayson Rodriguez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Athletics batters. Anthony Santander was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

As favorites, the Orioles have a 46-27 record and are 27-16 when favored at home. They have an overall run line record of 51-39 and their games have averaged 8 runs per game, despite their combined run average of 9.1. Baltimore has been solid in the AL East, with a 19-7 record against divisional opponents.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles have won three straight series and are 7-3 in their last 10 games. They lead the AL East by 3 games over the Yankees, with an overall record of 57-33. At home, they have a 29-17 record, compared to 28-16 on the road.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Dean Kremer is getting the start for the Orioles today and comes into the game with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 3.93. So far this year, he has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .196 off the right-hander. Kremer has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 9.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Kremer picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 3.23 compared to 6.47 at home.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

Not only are the Orioles the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they also lead the MLB in home runs. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 4th in the league, and they also have the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. Baltimore’s offense is led by Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander, who have 27 and 23 homers, respectively. Henderson is batting .293 for the season and has driven in 61 runs, which is 8th in the league.

Over the Orioles’ last six games, Gunnar Henderson has gone 9/25 with three runs batted in, and Ryan O’Hearn has also gone deep in that stretch while batting .278. Adley Rutschman has struggled of late, going just 2/19 in his last five games. Jordan Westburg is also on a six-game hitting streak.

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles straight up on the money line at -153. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4, so there is some value in taking them on the money line and not on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jameson Taillon finishing with five strikeouts compared to Dean Kremer with four. However, we have Kremer going longer in the game, as Taillon is projected to go just five innings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.