Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7/29/2024

The Chicago Cubs (51-56) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (50-55) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on MARQ. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (-109)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Reds have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last 15 games, compared to the Cubs’ 4.3 runs per game over the same period.
  • The Reds have a home record of 6-3 in their last 9 home games, showing strong performance at home recently.
  • In head-to-head matchups this season, the Reds have a 5-2 record against the Cubs, including a 3-1 record at home.
  • The Reds have won 4 out of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, indicating strong performance against competitive teams.
  • The Reds’ offense has been particularly potent in the last 15 games, scoring 10 or more runs in 3 of those games.

Cubs vs Reds

chicago cubs nba

The Cubs Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Cubs closed out the series with a 7-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +154. Offensively, the Cubs scored their seven runs on jsonly 12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Javier Assad put together a good start for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Chicago is 51-56 overall and has won two straight games, but they are still 10 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cubs are 5th in the division and have a 13-23 record in divisional matchups this season. Their average run differential on the road is -0.4 runs per game, and they have a 33-22 record against the run line on the road.

This season, the Cubs’ games have averaged 8.3 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-7-2. The over has hit in two straight games, bringing their season over/under record to 45-58.

Jameson Taillon Gets The Start For The Cubs

Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 7-5 with a 2.96 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is 1.15. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Taillon has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 7 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 12 homers.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

Chicago’s offense has been pretty inconsistent this season, as they are just 24th in the league in runs per game at 4.1. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league, and are also below average in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Christopher Morel has been the Cubs’ top power threat this season, as his 18 homers is 14th in the league. However, he is batting just .199 for the season. Ian Happ is batting only .232 but leads the team with 60 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Seiya Suzuki is batting .286 with two homers, and Patrick Wisdom has gone 3/8 in his last four games.

The Reds Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Rays scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Cincinnati was the -119 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Hunter Greene was excellent for the Reds, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Rays batters. However, the Reds couldn’t close things out, and Fernando Cruz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Reds also wasted a big game from Elly De La Cruz, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

As underdogs, the Reds have a 24-32 record this season, while they are 26-23 when favored. Their overall series record is 11-19-3. The Reds are currently 10 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and have a 50-55 overall record, placing them 4th in the division.

On the run line, the Reds have a 55-50 record, including a 32-20 mark on the road. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 46-55. In games with a total of 9 runs, the under has hit in three straight, and the Reds’ O/U record is 2-17-3.

Carson Spiers Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending Carson Spiers to the mound today vs. the Cubs, and he has made two quality starts this year. Overall, Spiers has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.83. Looking at his home/road splits, he has an ERA of 3.87 at home compared to 3.5 on the road. The right-hander’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and opponents are batting .260 vs. Spiers this year. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Marlins but did come away with the win. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/27 in his last seven games with six runs and one home run. For the season, he is batting .263 with 18 homers and 45 RBIs. The Reds’ top power hitter is Spencer Steer, who has 15 homers and 64 RBIs, but he is batting just .237. Jeimer Candelario is also near the top of the Reds’ home run and RBI charts, but he is batting just .228.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. Their batting average of .228 is 20th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Cincinnati’s most patient hitters have been Santiago Espinal and Nick Martini, who are on hitting streaks of eight and three games, respectively.

Cubs vs Reds Prediction

Getting the Reds at -109 on the money line is a great pick for today’s Cubs vs. Reds matchup. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-4. Offensively, the Reds lineup is one of the best in the league today, and they are projected to finish with 11 team hits, which is the second most in the league.

As for the Cubs, they are predicted to finish with eight hits, which is 14th in the league. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Carson Spiers is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he ranks fourth in the league in this category.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.