Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction 4/29/2024

The Chicago Cubs (17-11) travel to face off against the New York Mets (14-13) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MARQ. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Cubs vs Mets

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The Cubs will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Red Sox scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Chicago was the +126 underdog on the road going into the game.

Hayden Wesneski got the start for the Cubs and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up just one run on five hits. Mike Tauchman had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Mets, and they dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Red Sox. Currently, the Cubs are 17-11, putting them a half-game behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they have yet to play a game in the division.

At home, the Cubs have been strong, going 10-3 this year. But on the road, they are just 7-8. As the underdog, the Cubs are 10-8 this year compared to 7-3 as the favorite. Chicago’s overall series record is 5-3-1 this year.

Chicago is 20-8 against the run line on the year, and they are 11-4 on the run line on the road. They are 14-4 against the run line as an underdog, and they have covered the run line in eight straight games as the underdog. The Cubs’ average run differential in their wins is +3.6, while it is -4.3 in their losses.

Chicago’s games have averaged 9.8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 13-14. The average O/U line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the O/U record is 0-5. Overall, 53.6% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8 runs, and 28.6% have had lower lines.

Jameson Taillon Gets The Start For The Cubs

Jameson Taillon and the Cubs are on the road to take on the Mets today. This will be Taillon’s third start of the season, and he has picked up wins in his first two outings. He has been solid in both starts, as he has gone 5 innings in each outing and has a total of 8 strikeouts.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

Chicago’s offense has been very good at home this season, averaging 5.8 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Overall, they are 6th in the league at 5.1 runs per contest. The Cubs have been a good home run hitting team this season and have the league’s 7th best team batting average at .245.

Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger have been the top power threats for the Cubs this season, with Busch leading the team with six homers and Bellinger right behind him with five. Both players also have 17 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Nico Hoerner has been swinging a good bat of late, going 7/22 in his last five games, but he is still looking for his first home run of the season.

The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 4-2 win. After going 0-2 in the 1st inning, the Mets scored another two runs in the 3rd to take the lead. New York’s offense was carried by Mark Vientos, who went 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

Jose Quintana put together a good start for the Mets, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Mets are hosting the Cubs today with an overall record of 14-13, placing them 3rd in the NL East. They are 5.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. New York closed out their series vs. the Cardinals with a win and are 5-4 in series this year.

At home, the Mets are 7-8 this season and 7-5 on the road. So far, they are 8-7 as the favorite and 6-6 as the underdog. The Mets’ overall series record is 5-4, but they have dropped two straight series.

So far this season, the Mets have been a solid bet when taking the run line, going 14-13 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 8-4 against the run line, compared to just 6-9 at home. The Mets have been a run line favorite in 15 games and an underdog in 12 games. Their average run margin for the season is +0.3 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.7 runs per game on the road.

With an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game, the Mets have seen their games go over the 8-run line in 14 of their 27 games this season. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in just one of three games. Overall, 51.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8-run total.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino has been solid in his first three starts of the season, going 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA. He has 16 strikeouts in 17 innings of work. Severino’s last outing was a loss to the Giants, where he gave up 3 earned runs in 6 innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 13th in the league, and are 6th in the league in home runs. One area they have struggled in is getting on base via the walk, as they are just 11th in the league in walks.

Starling Marte is hitting .288 for the Mets this season and is 3rd on the team with four homers. Pete Alonso is just batting .248, but he does have a team-high eight home runs. Over his last six games, Alonso is 6/22 with two homers. Francisco Lindor has also homered three times in his last six games, but is batting just .202 for the season.


Cubs vs Mets Prediction


We see the Cubs coming out on top in this one with a predicted final score of 5-4. Given that they are the underdogs, we like them to win straight up and would recommend taking them on the money line, where they are currently at +107.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts compared to Jameson Taillon with four. However, we have Severino’s Mets falling, and with the Cubs having the better payout, we would stick with them.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.