Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction 4/30/2024

The Chicago Cubs (18-11) travel to face off against the New York Mets (14-14) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on MLBN. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Cubs vs Mets

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Chicago picked up a 3-1 road win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense only had three hits in the game but took advantage of their opportunities, scoring three runs in the 8th and picking up two insurance runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were at +122 on the money line.

Jameson Taillon got the start for the Cubs, going just 7 1/3 innings but giving up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed one home run. Mark Leiter Jr. came out of the bullpen for the win, and Hector Neris got the save.

Luis Severino had a good outing for the Mets in the loss, going eight innings and giving up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks.

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Mets, and they lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Brewers. The Cubs are 18-11 overall and have yet to play a game in their division this year. The Cubs won the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox and are 5-3-1 in series this year.

At home, the Cubs have been great, going 10-3 this year. On the road, they are just above .500 at 8-8. This season, the Cubs have been good as the underdog, putting together an 11-8 record. As the favorite, the Cubs are 7-3 this year.

Chicago is 21-8 vs. the run line this season, including a 12-4 mark on the road. The Cubs have been a run line underdog in 19 of their 25 games, and they’ve covered the run line in 15 of those contests. Chicago’s average run differential in wins is +3.5, while it’s -4.3 in losses.

Chicago’s over/under record for the season is 13-15, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. However, when the line is set at 8 runs, the Cubs have yet to hit the over, going 0-5 in those games. Overall, 51.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Javier Assad Gets The Start For The Cubs

Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Javier Assad has gotten off to a solid start to the season, with a win and two no-decisions. He has been able to go 5 2/3 innings in each of his first three starts. In his last outing, he picked up the win against the Mariners, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 6. He has given up 1 home run in each of his first two starts.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cubs offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game (7th) and batting a collective .241, which is 13th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per game. One area they will look to improve is in the power department, as they are just 8th in the league in home runs.

Chicago’s top power hitter so far has been Michael Busch, who is 5th in the league with six home runs. He also comes into the game with a team-high 17 RBIs. Cody Bellinger and Busch are also 1-2 in terms of RBIs for the Cubs. Over his last eight games, Mike Tauchman has gone 10/25 with three homers and seven RBIs. Bellinger also comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak.

The Mets are at an even 14-14 overall as they host the Cubs today. New York is 5.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East and are 2-1 in division games. The Mets dropped the first game of this series vs. the Cubs after taking the final game of their series vs. the Cardinals.

At home, the Mets are 7-9 this year compared to a road record of 7-5. So far, they have been .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog, with an 8-8 mark in each situation. New York’s overall series record is 5-4, but they have dropped two straight series.

The Mets have been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 14-14. They have been much better on the run line on the road, going 8-4, compared to 6-10 at home. They are 7-9 against the run line as the favorite and 7-5 as the underdog. Their average run margin for the season is +0.2 runs per game.

Despite a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game, the New York Mets have seen their over/under record sit at .500 on the season. The Mets have had 14 games with over/under lines set at 8 runs, and they have gone 1-2 in those contests. Their last two games have gone under the total, and they have seen 50% of their games have over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.

Sean Manaea Gets The Start For The Mets

Sean Manaea is getting the start for the Mets at home against the Cubs. He has had a bit of a rough go of it in his first two starts, as he was tagged with a loss in his first start and then took a no-decision in his last outing. In his most recent start, he went 4 2/3 innings and struck out 6, but he did give up 4 runs on 4 hits.

Mets Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. However, they have been much better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the league, and are 7th in the league in home runs. New York’s team slugging percentage of .379 is 15th in the league.

Starling Marte and Pete Alonso are the Mets’ top home run hitters this season, with Marte batting .288 and Alonso at .241. Alonso’s eight homers are 3rd in the league, and Marte’s four homers are 7th best in the MLB. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting under .210 for the season.


Cubs vs Mets Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Mets game is to take the Cubs on the money line, with the payout being +110. We have the Cubs winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would recommend taking the under, as there is some room for error in our projections, and we have this one combining for nine runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.