Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 4/14/2024

The Chicago Cubs (8-6) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (6-9) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Cubs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Cubs vs Mariners

chicago cubs nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cubs vs Mariners series. Chicago went into the matchup as -141 favorites and squeaked out a 4-1 win. The Cubs offense only had two more hits than the Mariners and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win.

Seattle’s only run came in the 2nd inning, and they wasted a good outing from Emerson Hancock, who gave up just two earned runs in six innings of work. Shota Imanaga was the difference for the Cubs, as he went 5 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run.

Offensively, the Cubs were led by Michael Busch and Miguel Amaya, who each had a home run. Busch, Seiya Suzuki, and Patrick Wisdom each scored two runs for Chicago’s offense.

As the Cubs are on the road today vs. the Mariners, they are looking to move above .500, as they currently hold an 8-6 record. In the NL Central, they are in 4th place, the same as the Reds, and both teams are 2.5 games behind the Brewers.

Chicago has been good at home this season, putting together a record of 5-1. But on the road, they are just 3-5 so far. The Cubs got back on track in their most recent game, picking up a win over the Mariners.

When the Cubs win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.5 runs per game. They are 9-5 on the run line this season, and they are 5-3 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog and are 6-4 on the run line as the underdog this season.

The Cubs have gone under the total in their last two games, but their over/under record for the season is still 8-6. Their games have averaged 10.4 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. In games where the line has been set at 8 runs, the Cubs have gone under in all four of those contests.

Javier Assad Gets The Start For The Cubs

Javier Assad and the Cubs are on the road to take on the Mariners. Assad has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his first outing and going 5 innings in his last start. He struck out 7 in that outing, but did give up 3 runs on 3 hits.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Cubs’ offensive projections, Seiya Suzuki is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and is 6th in terms of total home runs in today’s slate of games. Cody Bellinger is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits and 2nd in terms of home run projections, checking in at 10th in the league in terms of total home runs.

With a record of 6-9, the Mariners are in 4th place in the AL West, two games behind the Athletics and Astros, who are both 2-0. So far, the Mariners have really struggled in series, as they are still looking for their first series win (0-3-1).

When favored, Seattle has gone 3-4 this season and just below .500 at 3-5 as the underdog. At home, they are 4-5 compared to 2-4 on the road.

When the Mariners win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.0 runs per game. Unfortunately, they lose more often than they win, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. Their run line record is 5-10, and they are 2-7 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are just 1-6 against the run line, while they are 4-4 as the underdog.

Seattle’s over/under record for the season is now 5-8 after the under hit in each of their last three games. The average over/under line in their games this season is 8 runs, and their combined run average is 7.7 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cubs is set at 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs this season, the over/under record is 1-4-1.

Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Looking at Luis Castillo’s first three starts of the season, he is still looking for his first win. He has gone 5 innings in each of his starts and has taken the loss in each of them. He has given up 4 runs in each of his starts and has 23 strikeouts in 15 innings pitched.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

The Mariners have a few players with solid projections in terms of hitting performance today. Julio Rodríguez is our top projected hitter for the Mariners, with his total hits projection being 19th best in the league today. His home run projection is 9th best in the league. J.P. Crawford is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 11th in the league. Cal Raleigh is our top projected home run hitter for the Mariners today, with his home run projection being 7th best in the league.

 

Cubs vs Mariners Prediction

 

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Cubs, and with the Cubs’ money line sitting at +115, we see this as a great value pick. Offensively, we have the Cubs finishing with eight hits compared to the Mariners with eight.

Starting pitcher Luis Castillo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Javier Assad is predicted to finish with five. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under, with the line sitting at 8 runs, we would take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.