The Chicago White Sox (32-110) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (71-70) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on FOX. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
White Sox vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-197)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Red Sox have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
- The Red Sox have scored an average of 4.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The White Sox have lost 9 of their last 10 games.
- The White Sox have a league-worst away record of 14-56.
- The Red Sox have a better overall record (71-70) compared to the White Sox (32-110).
White Sox vs Red Sox
Boston picked up a 3-1 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 7th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -285 on the money line.
Nick Pivetta pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Zack Kelly came out of the bullpen for the win, and Josh Winckowski got the save.
Davis Martin got the start for the White Sox, going six innings and giving up one earned run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Matt Foster took the loss.
This season, the White Sox have struggled to close out series, with an 6-38-2 series record and 18 straight series losses. Overall, they are 57-85 against the run line, including a 28-42 record on the road. Their average run differential is -2.1 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 2.4 runs per game on the road.
Chicago’s over/under record for the season is 61-73, and the average total runs per game in their matchups is 8.2. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-15-3. Today, the White Sox are on the road against the Red Sox, and the O/U line for the game is 9 runs, which is only the 2nd time this season the total has been set at 9 or higher.
Garrett Crochet Gets The Start For The White Sox
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Crochet has made 28 appearances and 28 starts this season, coming in with a record of 6-10 and an ERA of 3.61. In his 28 starts, he has a total of 11 quality starts and is averaging 12.82 strikeouts per nine innings. Crochet’s last outing came on September 1st, where he took the loss, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Crochet has been much better at home this season, with an ERA of 4.14 compared to 4.84 on the road.
White Sox Offense Breakdown
Andrew Vaughn has been the White Sox’s top power hitter this season, as he leads the team with 16 homers and 60 RBIs, but he is batting just .236 overall and has gone 3/16 in his last five games. Andrew Benintendi is also near the top of the home run and RBI leaderboards but is batting only .218 for the season. Benintendi has also gone just 2/13 in his last four games.
Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3 runs per game. They are also last in the league in team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, the White Sox are batting just .220, and they have the worst isolated power figure in the league.
This season, the Red Sox have played 84 games with over/under lines set at less than 9 runs, accounting for 59.6% of their games. Their over/under record is 72-62, and their average total line is 9 runs. Boston’s run line record is 65-76, and they are 25-45 against the run line at home.
Currently, the Red Sox are 10.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and 10.5 games out of the second AL Wild Card spot. They have an overall record of 71-70 and have lost two straight series, bringing their series record to 21-18-6 for the season.
Cooper Criswell Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Through 16 starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 4.14. He has made 22 appearances this season and has a WHIP of 1.32. Criswell’s last outing came on September 1st vs. the Tigers, where he went four innings, didn’t give up an earned run, and finished with a no-decision. He has actually finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Criswell’s ERA for the season is 6.6 on the road compared to 4.07 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.83 strikeouts and 2.59 walks.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 10th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They also have the league’s best BABIP at .32.
Rafael Devers has been a big run producer for the Red Sox this season, leading the team with 81 RBIs and 28 home runs. His 81 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league. Devers is also batting .279 for the season. Jarren Duran is batting .292 and is 2nd on the team with 72 RBIs. Over his last six games, Duran has six hits in 23 at-bats. Tyler O’Neill has gone deep 25 times this season and is batting .253.
White Sox vs Red Sox Prediction
We see the Red Sox taking this one by a score of 6-4, and with the money line only at -197, we recommend taking the over at 9 runs. Our model has the Red Sox hitting the over on their own, and with the White Sox predicted to score four runs, we see this as a great value.
Looking at the starters, we have Cooper Criswell finishing with six strikeouts compared to Garrett Crochet with nine. However, Criswell is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Crochet. If you’re looking for a strikeout prop bet, you could take Crochet and Criswell’s combined strikeout line and take the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 7, 2024 Red Sox, White Sox