Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 6/3/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (26-33) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (21-37) on Monday, June 3rd. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.

Reds vs Rockies

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Cincinnati is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.

Nick Lodolo put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Cincinnati’s offense was carried by TJ Friedl, who went 1/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. Overall, they are 26-33 as they play on the road vs. the Rockies. The Reds are 12-16 on the road compared to 14-17 at home.

So far, the Reds are 4-5 in divisional games, and they are looking to gain a game on the Pirates, who are in 4th place and one game ahead of them. This season, the Reds have been favored 23 times, and they are 11-12 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 15-21. Cincinnati has an overall series record of 6-12-1 this season.

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 18-10. Their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game on the road, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite.

The Reds have an over/under record of 27-29 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. Their combined run average is 8.3 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, the over has hit in both games, but the line has only been set at 10.5 runs twice in their 86 games this season.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending Andrew Abbott to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 3.29. Looking at his overall numbers, Abbott has made 11 starts, and opponents are batting .222 this season. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 6.57 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander most recently faced the Cardinals, where he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in four straight starts.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer are the Reds’ top home run hitters this season, but both players are batting just .233 and .234, respectively. De La Cruz is 2nd on the team with 24 RBIs, while Steer leads the team with 35 RBIs. Will Benson is also near the top of the league in homers, but he is batting just .197 so far this season.

The Reds will be looking for one of their top power hitters to get going, as Jake Fraley has been hot of late, going 8/22 in his last six games. This includes three runs scored and one RBI. Jeimer Candelario has also been swinging a good bat, going 7/24 in his last six games with a home run and two RBIs.

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 4-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the +217 underdog going into Los Angeles. Offensively, the Rockies only had five fewer hits than the Dodgers but didn’t score a run. Their biggest issue was not having a timely hit, as they were 0-11 with runners in scoring position.

Austin Gomber got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. The Rockies also issued three walks and hit a batter. Colorado’s bullpen was solid, though, as they only allowed one run in their four innings of work.

The Rockies are 21-37 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, where they trail the Dodgers by 15.5 games. So far, they are just 9-14 against other teams in the NL West. Colorado is coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Dodgers.

At home, the Rockies are 13-14 this year compared to 8-23 on the road. As the underdog, Colorado is 21-37 this year, and they have dropped two straight as the underdog. So far, they have yet to play as the favorite this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 4-14-1, and they are just .500 over their last 10 games.

When betting on the Rockies’ run line, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they are 31-27 against the run line overall and 31-27 as the underdog. Their average run margin is -1.4, but they have been better at home, where they are 15-12 against the run line. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.1, while in their losses, it’s -3.9.

Colorado’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-28. The average over/under line for Rockies games this season is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 10.5 runs, their over/under record is 3-4. Overall, 67.2% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 10.5-run total. The under has hit in their last three games.

Ryan Feltner Gets The Start For The Rockies

Ryan Feltner gets the start for the Rockies today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Feltner has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.46. Looking at his WHIP, it currently sits at 1.50. Feltner has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 7.43 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed eight homers and is averaging 2.73 walks per nine innings.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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Over his last nine games, Ezequiel Tovar has been on fire at the plate, going 16/38 (.421) with six runs scored. This has helped him move his season-long batting average to .297, which is 3rd best on the team. Tovar also has eight homers, which is 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. Ryan McMahon has also been a solid power threat for the Rockies, as his 10 homers are the best on the team and 10th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .284 for the season and has gone just 5/27 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Rockies are 20th in scoring and have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .247 (8th) and have the 15th best slugging percentage in the league. Colorado’s team batting average is .247, and they are 20th in home runs.

Reds vs Rockies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Reds and Rockies matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Reds. With the Reds on the money line at -128, we see this as a great value pick and would recommend locking in this bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Feltner is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Andrew Abbott with seven. However, Abbott has the better chance of picking up a win, and we would rank him as the better starter to roster in DFS.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.