The Cincinnati Reds (56-59) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (65-49) on Friday, August 9th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on APLTV. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Reds vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+115)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games.
- The Reds have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
- The Reds have won 4 out of their last 5 road games.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents by 24 runs in their last 4 wins.
- The Reds have a 2-1 record against the Brewers in their last 3 head-to-head games.
Reds vs Brewers
The Reds Are Coming Off A Win
Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Marlins with an impressive 10-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -183. It was a seven-run 10th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Marlins could only score three runs in the bottom of the 10th to make things look a little closer. The Reds’ offense was carried by TJ Friedl, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Hunter Greene started for the Reds, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
As the underdog, the Reds have a 36-23 run line record and their average run margin on the road is +0.9. Overall, Cincinnati is 56-59 and 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The over has hit in six straight games for the Reds, and their over/under record this season is 53-58.
Carson Spiers Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Carson Spiers to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and 12 appearances. Spiers’ record for the season is 4-3, and he comes in with an ERA of 3.59. In his 57 2/3 innings of work, Spiers has issued just 1.72 walks per nine innings compared to 7.8 strikeouts. The last time he pitched, Spiers gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear for the Reds over his last nine games, going 13/39 with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 with 20 homers and 50 RBIs, which is 3rd on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but both players are batting just .228 this season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 10th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .231, which is 20th in the league. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game.
The Brewers Are Coming Off A Win
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 16-7 win. After allowing three runs to the Braves in the 3rd inning, the Brewers responded with three runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Elvis Peguero picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Brewers, as Milwaukee scored 11 runs over the final three innings. The Brewers were the +112 underdog going into this matchup.
Milwaukee has been playing well, winning three straight games and leading the NL Central by seven games over the Cardinals with a 65-49 record. They have a 23-13 record in divisional games and are 31-21 at home and 34-28 on the road.
On the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet as underdogs, with a 35-16 record. Their over/under record for games with an 8.5 run line is 24-18, and the over/under record for the season is 63-46. The over has hit in their last three games, and the average run total for their games is 8.9 runs.
Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .268 off Civale this season, and he has only turned in four quality starts. In his last outing, Civale took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Civale has a WHIP of 1.41 this season.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers have the league’s top on-base percentage, and they have been one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. This is also the 3rd best batting average in the league. The Brewers have been especially good at home, where they are averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Adames leading the team with 20 homers and Hoskins sitting at 19. Adames’ 76 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Adames has been hot of late, going 8/24 with three homers in his last six games. Jackson Chourio has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/30 in his last six games.
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
We see the Reds taking this one on the road against the Brewers, and with them as the underdog, there is some good value on their money line at +115. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Reds, giving us some room to take the money line or the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Civale finishing with six strikeouts compared to Carson Spiers with six as well. However, Civale is projected to finish with a higher ERA, and we have him finishing with the Brewers getting the loss.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 9, 2024 Brewers, Reds