The Cincinnati Reds (71-77) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (78-68) on Friday, September 13th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSOH. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Reds vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-221)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Twins have won their last 2 games, showing positive momentum.
- In their last 15 games, the Twins have scored 4 or more runs in 8 games, indicating consistent offensive production.
- The Twins have a solid home record of 41-31, demonstrating strong performance at home.
- The Reds have lost their last 2 games, indicating a recent struggle.
- The Twins have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Reds (12th), suggesting overall better performance this season.
Reds vs Twins
The Twins Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it closed out their series vs. St. Louis. Cincinnati was the +123 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.
Jakob Junis took the loss but pitched well for the Reds, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out three. However, the Reds’ offense scored only one run, and it came in the 6th inning. Carson Spiers took the loss out of the bullpen for the Reds.
Cincinnati is 71-77 overall and 14.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, putting them in 5th place, tied with the Pirates. They are 2.0 games out of a Wild Card spot after losing the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. The Reds have an 18-27-3 series record this season and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Against the run line, the Reds are 80-68 overall, including a 45-28 record on the road and a 53-29 mark as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, with the over hitting in 67 of their 141 games. The under has hit in their last 6 games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs.
Julian Aguiar Gets The Start For The Reds
Julian Aguiar and the Cincinnati Reds are on the road to take on the Twins. Aguiar has a win and two no-decisions in his three starts this season. His last time out, he went 4 2/3 innings and struck out two against the Mets.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ top power threat this season, as his 23 home runs are the most on the team and he is also 2nd on the team in RBIs (65). However, he has struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .143 over his last eight games. Overall, De La Cruz is batting .259 for the season. Jeimer Candelario is also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .225 for the year.
Spencer Steer has driven in the most runs for the Reds this season, as his 86 RBIs are 14th in the league. He has done this while batting just .229. Steer is also on a six-game hitting streak, going 9/25 in his last eight games.
The Twins Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Twins closed out the series with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -215. Offensively, the Twins scored their six runs on 11 hits and only hit one home run.
Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins, going 3 1/3 innings, and got the win. He only gave up two runs on five hits and issued two walks. Matt Wallner was hot at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and scoring a run. The Twins also had three other players with two hits.
Minnesota is 78-68 overall and 3rd in the AL Central, 5.5 games behind the Guardians. As the favorite, the Twins are 62-39 straight up, but they are 16-29 as underdogs. Their overall series record this season is 26-17-4.
Against the run line, the Twins are 68-78, with a +0.3 run margin per game. In games they win, their average run margin is +3.7. The over has hit in two straight games for the Twins, and their games with an O/U line of 8 runs have gone over 13 times in 36 contests.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.77. Opposing batters are hitting .200 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of .98. In his 27 appearances, Ober has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 9.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Ober’s last outing came against the Royals, where he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss since August 26th.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ top home run hitter this season, but he is batting just .239 overall. However, he has been hot of late, going 8/26 in his last eight games with three homers. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana are also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with 20 and 21 homers, respectively. Jeffers is batting just .232 this season, and Santana is at .239.
As a team, the Twins are 11th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league.
Reds vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins to pick up the win at home. However, with the Twins being -221 on the money line, we would recommend taking the over at 8 runs, with the payout sitting at -109.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 11th among starters. As for Julian Aguiar, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is 13th. Aguiar is also projected to give up five runs, compared to Ober at six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 13, 2024 Reds, Twins