The Cincinnati Reds (73-77) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (78-70) on Sunday, September 15th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on None. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 12:05 CT.
Reds vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-160)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Twins have a strong home record of 41-33, indicating they perform well at home.
- In their last 15 games, the Twins have scored 6 or more runs in 5 games, showing their offensive capability.
- The Twins have won 3 out of their last 4 home games, demonstrating recent home-field advantage.
- The Reds have a losing record of 36-39 in away games, suggesting they struggle on the road.
- The Twins have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Reds (10th), indicating overall better performance this season.
Reds vs Twins
Cincinnati cruised to an easy 11-1 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 4th inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only run in the 1st inning. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +128 on the money line.
Nick Martinez started for the Reds and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. Simeon Woods Richardson had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going just three innings and giving up three earned runs.
TJ Friedl and Jake Fraley each homered for the Reds, while Jonathan India scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Noelvi Marte also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, two games behind the Cardinals, and 14 games behind the Brewers. They have won two straight games after losing the first two games of their series against the Dodgers. The Reds have an 82-68 run line record this season, including a 47-28 mark on the road, and are 55-29 as run line underdogs.
This season, Reds games have averaged 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 69-74. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, which is lower than usual, as 48% of their games have had higher totals. Heading into today’s game, the over has hit in their last two games.
Rhett Lowder Gets The Start For The Reds
Rhett Lowder and the Reds are on the road to take on the Twins today. Lowder has started three games so far this season, and he is coming off a win over the Cardinals in which he went 5 innings and struck out 3. He also started the year with a no-decision against the Astros, going 6 1/3 innings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ leading home run hitter, and he is also 2nd on the team in RBIs. De La Cruz is batting .257 for the season and has an on-base percentage of .342. Over his last eight games, TJ Friedl has been hot, going 10/27 with two homers and seven RBIs. During this stretch, he has scored six runs.
Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. This season, they are batting just .233, which is 19th in the MLB. As a team, they are 13th in home runs and have the 11th-ranked walk rate in the league.
Minnesota has struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last 10 games and losing three of their last four. They are 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with a 78-70 record. As the favorite, the Twins are 62-41 but as the underdog, they are 16-29.
This season, Twins games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, resulting in a 75-67 over/under record. The over has hit in their last four games, and their O/U record in games with an 8.5 run line is 23-22. Minnesota’s overall run line record is 68-80, including 31-43 at home and 37-37 on the road.
David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander David Festa is getting the start for the Twins today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 with an ERA of 5.08. Festa’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and opponents are batting .229 off him this year. Festa has only turned in one quality start this year and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three homers. Festa has lost each of his last four starts.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 5/14 in his last four games with a home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .239, but his 21 home runs are the most on the team. Ryan Jeffers and Willi Castro are also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with Jeffers having 20 and Castro at 11.
As a team, the Twins are 9th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average and have the 6th best isolated power mark in the league.
Reds vs Twins Prediction
Getting the Twins at -160 on the money line is a great value, as we have them winning this one 6-5. With the Twins picking up the win, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, David Festa is projected to finish with five strikeouts. However, we have Rhett Lowder finishing with six, but we still have Festa finishing with a better line than Lowder.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 15, 2024 Reds, Twins