The Cincinnati Reds (15-13) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (14-17) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSOH. Both the Reds and Padres are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.
Reds vs Padres
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the bottom of the 6th. Cincinnati was the +112 underdog on the road going into this matchup.
Andrew Abbott got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. The Reds also wasted a big game from Jonathan India, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Cincinnati will be on the road today vs. the Padres, and the Reds are 15-13 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL Central. They are 2.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead and went 1-2 in their most recent series vs. the Rangers. So far, they have gone 9-7 at home compared to 6-6 on the road.
The Reds have an overall series record of 4-4-1 this season, and they have been really good as the favorite this year, going 10-4. Cincinnati has also been perfect as the road favorite at 3-0. Their longest win streak as the favorite is seven games this year.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 16-12 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, where they are 8-4. Their average run margin this season is +0.8 runs per game, and they are scoring 1.1 more runs per game on the road than at home. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
The Reds have played to an over/under record of 15-12 this season, with an average combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 3-2. Overall, 64.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, with the average line set at 9 runs per game.
Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds
Nick Lodolo will be making his 4th start of the season, and he is coming off a win in his last outing, where he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 10. He has yet to allow an earned run this season, as he has given up just 1 run in 17 innings of work.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds, hitting .290 over his last 10 games, including two home runs during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .281 with a team-high 18 RBIs and seven homers, which is 4th in the league. Spencer Steer is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as he comes into the game with 20 RBIs and is 8th in the league in RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .219, which is 21st in the league.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with an 8-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the top of the 7th. San Diego was the -146 favorite at home going into the game.
Michael King had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Jake Cronenworth, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/4.
San Diego is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today as they host the Reds. The Padres dropped the final three games of their series vs. the Phillies and then lost the series opener to the Phillies. Currently, they are 4th in the NL West, 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.
At home, the Padres are 6-11 this year and 8-6 on the road. So far, their overall record is 14-17. As the underdog, the Padres have dropped four straight games, and they are 0-4 as the home underdog this year. San Diego’s overall series record is 4-5-2, and they have lost two straight series at home.
When the Padres are at home, they are not a good bet against the run line, as they are just 4-13. They have been especially bad lately, failing to cover the run line in three straight home games. However, when the Padres are on the road, they have been a good bet, going 11-3 against the run line. They have been favored in 18 games and are just 7-11 against the run line in those games. When they are the underdog, they are 8-5 against the run line. Their average run margin is -0.1 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 15-16.
So far this season, the Padres have played 30 games with over/under lines. The over/under line for today’s game is 8, which is the same as their average line for the season. In games with an over/under line of 8, the Padres have gone 3-4-1. Overall, the Padres’ games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-14.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Through his first four starts of the season, Matt Waldron has been a solid option for the Padres. He has a 1-1 record and is coming off a win in his last start against the Rockies. Waldron has gone at least 5 innings in each of his starts, and he has 18 strikeouts in 20 1/3 innings pitched.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego has been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams so far, and they are also among the league leaders in batting average and on-base percentage. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Jurickson Profar has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last eight games, and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.
Over his last seven games, Jake Cronenworth is 8/28 with three runs batted in, and Ha-Seong Kim has gone deep in four straight games. Kim has struggled with his batting average of late, going just 5/27 in his last eight games.
Reds vs Padres Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Padres game is to take the Padres to win at home. The money line odds are currently at -110, and we have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Matt Waldron finishing with six strikeouts compared to Nick Lodolo with five. However, we have Lodolo going six innings and Waldron going just five.
Offensively, the Reds are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Padres with nine. However, the Reds are projected to finish with more home runs, and the Reds have a higher team strikeout rate.
Our best bet for this game is to take the Padres on the money line.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 29, 2024 Padres, Reds