Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction 4/30/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (16-13) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (14-18) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Reds vs Padres

cincinnati reds nba

The most recent game o of this Reds vs Padres series came right down to the end, as the Padres rallied late but still fell short with the Reds winning 5-2 on the road. Heading into the game, the Reds were at -108 on the money line.

Cincinnati got to Padres starter Matt Waldron, scoring four runs off him in just six innings of work. On the other side, Nick Lodolo gave the Reds a good outing, giving up just one hit and one earned run across seven innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Elly De La Cruz and Jeimer Candelario, as they were the only two Reds hitters to have more than one hit. De La Cruz, Will Benson, and Santiago Espinal each had one home run for Cincinnati.

Cincinnati is 16-13 overall and trails the Cubs by two games in the NL Central. The Reds won the first game of this series vs. the Padres and are 4-4-1 in series this year. Cincinnati has gone just 1-2 in division games so far.

At home, the Reds have gone 9-7 this year and are 7-6 on the road. So far, the Reds have been good as the favorite, going 10-4. As for their record as the underdog, the Reds are 6-9.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 17-12 overall. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 9-4, and they’ve covered the run line in four straight road games. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 8-7 on the run line, and their average run margin in winning games is an impressive 4.2 runs per game.

The Reds have gone under the total in their last two games, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 15-13, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. Their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs four times this season, and all four have gone under the total.

Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds

Nick Martinez will be making his 4th start of the season, and it will be his first road start of the year. He has started 2 games and has come out of the bullpen once. In his last start, he went 6 innings but took the loss, giving up 5 runs on 11 hits. He has yet to record a win, but has 8 strikeouts in 14 innings of work.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game as the Reds’ leader in home runs and RBIs, with 8 homers and 19 RBIs, respectively. He is also batting .280 for the season and has been on base at a .390 clip. However, he has hit just .214 over his last eight games. Will Benson has also hit two homers in his last seven games and is batting .212 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are 8th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .220, which is 22nd in the league.

San Diego is looking to snap a five-game losing streak today as they take on the Reds at home. The Padres are 14-18 overall and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional matchups. San Diego lost the first game of their current series vs. the Reds.

The Padres have dropped four straight games at home, and their record is just 6-12 at home this year. On the road, San Diego has gone 8-6 this season. As the favorite, the Padres are 9-10 and 5-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 4-5-2 and lost two straight series at home.

When the Padres are the underdog, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 8-5. They have also been a good bet on the run line on the road, where they are 11-3. They have struggled at home, going just 4-14 against the run line.

San Diego’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-15. The Padres have played in 22 games with higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season. So far this season, the over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 5-5.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish is making his second start of the season at home and will be facing the Reds. In his first start of the season, Darvish went 5 innings and gave up 3 runs on 4 hits. He struck out 2 and gave up a pair of homers. He has yet to pick up a win this season.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

San Diego comes into the game with the league’s 5th best home run total, and they have been one of the better offensive teams in the league so far, averaging 4.7 runs per game. One of the things that has stood out about their offense is that they are 6th in runs scored on the road and 13th in runs scored at home. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 7th best in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last six games with two homers and four RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s top batting average spot for the season, as he is hitting .301. Profar is also 1st on the team in on-base percentage and has gone deep four times this season.


Reds vs Padres Prediction


Our predicted final score for this matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, which means there is a lot of value in taking them on the money line at -147. Looking at the starting pitchers, Yu Darvish is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today.

As for Nick Martinez, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the sixth lowest among starters. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under, and we would recommend taking the over at 7.5 runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.