Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/1/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (16-14) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (15-18) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on BSOH. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Reds vs Padres

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San Diego picked up a 6-4 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Reds, they scored two in the 6th and added their final two runs in the 7th.

Yu Darvish only went five innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks. Nick Martinez struggled on the mound for the Reds, taking the loss.

Jurickson Profar had a three-hit game for the Padres, while Manny Machado drove in three runs. Jonathan India had a two RBI game at the plate for the Reds.

Cincinnati is on the road today, taking on the Padres with an overall record of 16-14. The Reds are 3rd in the NL Central and trail the Brewers by 2.5 games. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games. The Reds dropped the series opener vs. the Padres but won the final game of their series vs. the Rangers.

As the favorite, the Reds have gone 10-4 this year and 6-10 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-4-1 this year.

When the Reds win, they win big, with an average run differential of 4.2 runs per game. That’s why they have a strong run line record of 17-13 overall and 9-5 on the road. They have been favored in 14 of their 30 games, and they have a 9-5 run line record in those games.

The Cincinnati Reds have played 29 games this season, with 18 of those games having an over/under line set higher than 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-13 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Reds have gone 3-2 in those games. In their last game, the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs, and the game finished with 10 runs scored.

Graham Ashcraft Gets The Start For The Reds

After picking up a win in his first two starts of the season, Graham Ashcraft is coming off a no-decision in his last outing. He went 6 1/3 innings, allowing just 1 earned run on 7 hits. Ashcraft has been able to rack up the strikeouts, as he has 16 K’s in 16 innings of work so far this season.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been a big part of the Reds lineup this season, as he is batting .279 with a team-leading eight home runs. His 19 RBIs are also the 2nd most in the league. De La Cruz has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/29 in his last eight games with two homers. Will Benson has also been swinging a good bat of late, hitting .273 in his last eight games with two homers.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.9 runs per game and are among the league leaders in home runs. However, they have struggled in terms of batting average (.220) and on-base percentage (.301). Cincinnati’s team on-base percentage is just 17th in the league.

San Diego is 15-18 overall, and they are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 4.5 games. The Padres picked up a win in the most recent game vs. the Reds after dropping the first game of the series. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Padres are just 7-12 this year. San Diego has been better on the road, going 8-6. As the favorite, the Padres are an even 10-10 and 5-8 as the underdog. The team’s overall series record is 4-5-2, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 11-3. However, they have struggled at home, going just 5-14 against the run line. Overall, they are 16-17 vs. the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-5 vs. the run line, compared to 8-12 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it is -3.0 in losing games.

San Diego has been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 17-15, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 3-4-1. Overall, 42.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that start, which came on April 26th, Musgrove took the loss after giving up seven earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Looking back further, he has made three straight starts in which he has given up at least three earned runs. Musgrove’s ERA for the season is 6.94, and his record is 3-3. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, Jurickson Profar has been on a tear for the Padres, going 11/26 (.423) over his last seven games, including two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .318, which is 2nd on the team, and his four homers is 2nd on the team. Jake Cronenworth and Profar are both tied for 2nd on the team in home runs and have gone deep 4 times apiece.

Overall, the Padres are 7th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league.

Reds vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -137. We actually have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Joe Musgrove finishing with six strikeouts compared to Graham Ashcraft with just four. Musgrove is also predicted to go six innings, while Ashcraft is projected to go just five.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.