Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 4/15/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (9-6) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (6-10) on Monday, April 15th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 9:42 ET.

Reds vs Mariners

cincinnati reds nba

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with an 11-4 win. After a four-run 3rd inning, the Reds added another four runs in the 4th to really put things out of reach. Cincinnati went on to add another three runs in the 7th, just for good measure. Heading into the game, the Reds were the heavy favorite at -157.

Graham Ashcraft got the start for the Reds, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and striking out eight. Cincinnati’s offense was carried by Nick Martini, who went 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Cincinnati heads into today’s game in a good groove, as they are on a three-game winning streak. In the NL Central, they are 1.5 games behind the Pirates for the division lead and are currently in 3rd place. So far, they have a record of 9-6.

On the road, the Reds have been really good so far, putting together a 5-1 record. At home, they are just below .500 at 4-5. Cincinnati has won four straight games as the road team and is coming off a series sweep vs. the White Sox.

The Reds have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 8-7 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 5-1 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.4, compared to -3.0 in losing games. They are currently on a four-game run line win streak on the road.

The Reds have played 15 games this season with an average of 10.5 runs scored, and their over/under record is 11-4. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Mariners is set at 7.5 runs. So far this season, the Reds have played 13 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their record in games with that line is 0-2.

Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Reds

Frankie Montas and the Reds are on the road to take on the Mariners. Montas has a win and a loss in his first two starts of the season. His last time out, he took the loss against the Brewers, going 5 innings and giving up 3 earned runs.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Our player projections have Christian Encarnacion-Strand as the Reds player most likely to have a big game at the plate. His hits projection is the best on the team and 27th best in the league today. He also has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, with the 7th best odds in the league. If you are looking for a Reds player to go deep, we also like Spencer Steer, who has the 2nd best home run odds on the team and 12th best in the league.

The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cubs scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Seattle was the -142 favorite at home going into the game.

Luis Castillo was excellent for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. The Mariners’s offense was carried by Jorge Polanco, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

With a record of 6-10, the Mariners are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today as they are at home vs. the Reds. In the AL West, they are two games behind the Rangers, as they have yet to play a divisional game this season.

So far, Seattle has really struggled in series, as they are 0-4-1 and have lost four straight series. At home, they are 4-6 compared to 2-4 on the road.

When the Mariners win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.0. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5. They are 5-11 against the run line this season, including 2-8 at home. They are 3-3 vs. the run line on the road and have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games.

Seattle’s over/under record is 5-9, with an average of 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5, the over/under record is 3-4. The over has hit in 50% of their games this season when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Their last four games have gone under the total, including their last game against the Cubs, where the combined runs were just 5.

George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners

George Kirby will be making his third start of the season for the Mariners, and he will be taking on the Reds at home. Kirby started the year with a win over the Red Sox, where he went 6 2/3 innings and struck out 8. However, in his last start, he took the loss against the Blue Jays, giving up 5 runs in 4 innings of work.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Looking at the Mariners’ offensive projections today, we see Julio Rodríguez is expected to have a strong game at the plate. His total hits projection is the best on the team and 25th best in the league today. His home run projection is 10th best in the league and 2nd on the team. Cal Raleigh is the Mariners’ top projected home run hitter, with the 8th best odds in the league. Mitch Garver is 5th on the team in total hits, and his home run projection is 10th in the league and 2nd on the team. J.P. Crawford is 2nd on the team in total hits and 4th in terms of home run projections.

 

Reds vs Mariners Prediction

 

Our prediction for this Reds vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -151. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5, giving you a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have George Kirby finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing ninth among starters in today’s slate. As for Frankie Montas, we have him finishing with six K’s, which would have him sixth.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.