Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7/26/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (49-53) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (52-51) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSOH. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.

Reds vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (-105)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • The Reds have won 3 of their last 4 road games.
  • The Reds have a recent winning streak of 2 games.
  • The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 14 runs in their last 2 games.
  • The Reds have a higher away win percentage (.490) compared to the Rays’ home win percentage (.500).

Reds vs Rays

cincinnati reds nba

The Reds Are Coming Off A Win

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 9-4 win. After allowing one run to the Braves in the bottom of the first, the Reds responded with four runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Starting for the Reds was Frankie Montas, who picked up the win. He went 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on json hits. Jake Fraley had a big game at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Cincinnati has been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 55-47 record overall and a 32-17 mark on the road. They have a 24-25 road record straight up and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Reds are 12-14 against NL Central teams so far.

The Reds will be on the road today, facing the Rays, after winning two straight games. They are 25-28 at home and have an average run total of 8.6 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs.

Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with an ERA of 3.51. Lodolo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings vs. the Nationals. He gave up four earned runs in that outing, along with one homer. Lodolo has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.46 strikeouts and 2.66 walks.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear of late for the Reds, going 10/28 in his last seven games with three homers and eight runs scored. For the season, he is batting .262 with a team-leading 18 homers and 45 RBIs. Spencer Steer has also been a big run producer for the Reds, as his 64 RBIs are 12th in the MLB, and he is 3rd on the team with 15 homers.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road than at home, and overall, they are 11th in home runs. However, they are batting just .231 as a team, which is 20th in the league.

The Rays Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Rays closed out the series with a 13-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -106 on the money line. It was a big first inning for the Rays, as they scored their first run of the game and added another three runs in the 3rd to really break things open. Tampa Bay’s offense went on to score a total of 13 runs on 16 hits and hit just one home run.

Taj Bradley put together a good start for the Rays, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out seven Blue Jays batters. Brandon Lowe was hot at the plate, going 4/4 with a double, three RBIs, and a run scored. The Rays really broke things open with a five-run 6th inning.

As underdogs, the Rays have a 24-25 record this season, and they have won two straight games in that role. Overall, Tampa Bay is 49-54 against the run line, with a 20-34 mark at home and a 29-20 record on the road. The Rays have a 52-51 record and are 9.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East.

The over/under record for Rays games this season is 50-48, and the average run total is 8.5 runs. The over has hit in the last two games for Tampa Bay, and 67.0% of their games have had higher total lines than today’s 7.5 runs.

Shane Baz Gets The Start For The Rays

Shane Baz will be making his third start of the season for the Rays and will be taking on the Reds at home. In his first start of the year, Baz went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs. He followed that up with a no-decision against the Yankees, where he went 3 1/3 innings and struck out 5.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

Over the past eight games, Randy Arozarena has been swinging a hot bat for the Rays, hitting .333 with three homers. For the season, he is 14th in the MLB with 15 homers but has a batting average of just .211. Isaac Paredes has been the team’s top power threat, as his 16 homers are the most on the team and 13th in the league. Paredes is also batting .250 and has driven in 55 runs.

As a team, the Rays are batting just .235 and are 26th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. Their home and road splits are nearly identical, with the team averaging 3.7 runs per game at home and 4.4 on the road. Overall, they are 21st in the league in home runs and have the 17th best on-base percentage.

Reds vs Rays Prediction

Our predicted score for this Reds vs. Rays matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Reds. So, we would recommend taking the Reds on the money line, where you can get them at -105.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Lodolo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Shane Baz, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is 15th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.