Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7/27/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (50-53) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (52-52) on Saturday, July 27th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on BSSUN. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Reds vs. Rays Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (+101)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 games, showing strong recent form.
  • The Reds have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • The Reds have a .500 record on the road in their last 10 away games (5-5).
  • The Reds have outscored their opponents by 12 runs in their last 5 games (32 runs scored vs. 20 runs allowed).
  • The Reds have won their last 3 games against teams with a winning record.

Reds vs Rays

cincinnati reds nba

Cincinnati picked up a 3-2 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a late rally, scoring one run in the 9th inning to pick up the win. Heading into the game, the Reds were at -109 on the money line.

Nick Lodolo started for the Reds and went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Rays, Shane Baz got the start and went six innings, giving up two hits and two earned runs.

At the plate, the Reds were led by Jeimer Candelario, who went 1/4 with two RBIs. Jose Caballero and Jonny DeLuca each had two hits for the Rays.

Heading into today’s game, the Reds have won three straight and lead the series vs. the Rays. They are 4th in the NL Central, nine games behind the Brewers with a 50-53 record. As favorites, they are 26-22, but as underdogs, they are 24-31.

This season, the Reds are 55-48 vs. the run line, with a 32-18 record on the road. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 46-53. The over has hit in 6 out of 15 games with a 7.5 run total line.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with an ERA of 3.19. So far, Abbott has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 6.93 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings vs. the Nationals, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Abbott finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Abbott is his walk total, as he is averaging 3.42 per nine innings compared to just 6.93 strikeouts.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat for the Reds of late, going 13/37 (.351) over his last nine games, including three home runs. De La Cruz’s 18 homers this season is 13th in the league and leads the Reds. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with 15 and 16 homers, respectively.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. However, they are batting just .230 as a team and are 26th in the league in strikeouts. Their team on-base percentage of .304 is 19th in the league.

As underdogs, the Rays have a 30-20 run line record this season, and overall, they are 50-54 against the run line. The over/under record for games with a total of 7.5 runs is 16-14, and their season over/under record stands at 50-49.

Tampa Bay is 5-5 in their last ten games and currently sits at an even 52-52 overall, 9.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. The Rays have a 18-12-3 series record this season and lost the first game of the series vs. the Reds.

Zack Littell Gets The Start For The Rays

Tampa Bay is sending Zack Littell to the mound today vs. the Reds, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Littell ended up taking the loss in that outing. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Littell’s record for the season is 3-7, and his ERA is 4.46. Opponents are batting .292 off the right-hander this season. Out of his 20 starts, Littell has seven quality starts and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings.

Rays Offense Breakdown

tampa bay rays

So far this season, the Rays are 27th in the league in runs per game at just 4 runs per contest. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .234 and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power hitter this season, as his 16 homers are the most on the team and 15th in the league. However, he is batting just .249. Yandy Diaz has been a more consistent hitter, coming in with a batting average of .272, and he is 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs. Over his last six games, Brandon Lowe has gone 5/19 with two homers.

Reds vs Rays Prediction

Our pick for this Reds vs. Rays matchup is to take the Reds on the money line, with the payout sitting at +101. We actually have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, we could see the over/under line at 7.5 going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Littell actually has the second-best chances of picking up a win today, but we still have the Rays losing. Littell is projected to finish with four strikeouts, compared to Andrew Abbott at six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.