Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cincinnati Reds vs Texas Rangers Prediction 4/28/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (15-12) travel to face off against the Texas Rangers (14-14) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at Globe Life Field in Arlington and televised on BSSW. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 2:35 ET.

Reds vs Rangers

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Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their only four runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at -101 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Hunter Greene for the Reds and Michael Lorenzen for the Rangers. Greene went seven innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. On the other side, Lorenzen was tagged for five earned runs in six innings of work.

Cincinnati’s offense was led by a huge game from Jonathan India, who went 4/4 with a home run. India scored four times and drove in four runs. Will Benson also homered for the Reds and drove in two runs.

Cincinnati is 15-12 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Rangers. The Reds are 3rd in the NL Central and trail the Brewers by 2.5 games. Cincinnati won the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies and took the series two games to one. So far, they are 1-2 in division games this year.

As the favorite, the Reds have gone 10-4 this year, and they are 5-8 as the underdog. Cincinnati has been good at home, going 9-7 compared to 6-5 on the road. The Reds’ overall series record is 4-3-1, and they won the series opener vs. the Rangers.

When betting the run line, the Reds have been a solid play this season, going 15-12 overall. They are 8-8 at home on the run line, but have been even better on the road, going 7-4. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game, and that number jumps to +1.3 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a solid play as the underdog, going 6-7 on the run line in those games.

The Cincinnati Reds have had a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 15-11, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 2-2. So far this season, 48.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 37.0% have had lines set lower. In their last game, the Reds and Rangers combined for 12 runs, going over the 8.5-run line.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Andrew Abbott and the Reds are on the road to take on the Rangers. Abbott has started 3 games so far this season, with a win and 2 no-decisions. In his last start, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and he has 13 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings pitched.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds offense so far this season, as he is batting .283 with a team-leading seven home runs. His 18 RBIs are also 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. Spencer Steer has also been a good run producer for the Reds, as he is 8th in the league with 19 RBIs and has three homers. However, he is batting just .253 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team so far but are batting just .221 as a team. Cincinnati’s offense has been pretty consistent, as they are averaging 5 runs per game at home and on the road. Over his last five games, Will Benson has two homers but is batting just .238.

Texas is currently 14-14 overall and trails the Mariners by 1.5 games for the AL West lead. So far, they are 5-8 in AL West games and lost the series opener vs. the Reds after taking the final game of their series vs. the Mariners. The Rangers have an overall series record of 3-4-1 this year.

At home, the Rangers are 7-8 this year compared to 7-6 on the road. So far, they have gone just 3-7 in day games. As for their record this year as the favorite, the Rangers are 6-7 and 8-7 as the underdog. Texas will be looking to get back above .500 today, as they are currently even on the year.

When betting on the Rangers, it’s important to consider the run line. They are 13-15 on the run line this season, including 6-9 at home. Their average run margin is +0.2, but that number is much higher in wins (+3.6) compared to losses (-3.2). They are 7-6 on the run line on the road, and 9-6 as the underdog.

So far this season, the Texas Rangers have played in 17 games where the over/under line was set higher than 8.5 runs, and in those games, the over has hit 12 times. Their combined run average for the season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 12-15. In their last game against the Reds, the combined runs scored was 12, which was over the 8.5 run line. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 3-5.

Dane Dunning Gets The Start For The Rangers

Dane Dunning is getting the start for the Rangers today, and this will be his second home start of the season. He has a 1-1 record through his first three starts and is coming off a loss to the Mariners, where he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 7 hits. In his first start of the season, he picked up a win against the Astros, and he has 15 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings pitched so far.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

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Adolis Garcia has been a great power threat for the Rangers this season, as his seven home runs are 4th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also hitting a solid .290. Marcus Semien is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 20 is 7th in the league and 2nd on the team. Evan Carter and Semien are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but Carter is batting just .213 this season.

Over his last five games, Evan Carter has two homers but is just 4/18. Josh Smith has also gone deep in this stretch while going 6/18. Smith is also on a three-game hitting streak. Overall, Carter is 2nd on the team in RBIs, and Smith is batting .333 in his last five games.


Reds vs Rangers Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Rangers matchup is that the Rangers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Rangers on the money line, where the payout is -127.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Dane Dunning is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which ranks 19th among today’s starters. As for Andrew Abbott, he is projected to finish with 5 K’s, which is 12th best. The Reds are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, while the Rangers are projected to finish with eight.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.