The Philadelphia Phillies are playing for the first time this season while the Cincinnati Reds are coming off a win. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Reds vs Phillies
The Reds and Phillies needed extra innings to decide the previous game of this series, with the Reds coming out on top by a score of 6-3. Heading into the game, the Reds were the underdog at +121.
Neither starter factored into the decision, as Andrew Abbott went 5 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs for the Reds, while Cristopher Sanchez also gave up two earned runs in his five innings of work. Alexis Diaz got the win for the Reds, and Connor Brogdon took the loss.
Spencer Steer was the big bat for the Reds, going 2/5 with four RBIs and a home run. Christian Encarnacion-Strand also drove in a run for the Reds. As for the Phillies, Alec Bohm drove in two runs, and Trea Turner went 2/4 with a stolen base.
Graham Ashcraft Gets The Start For The Reds
Graham Ashcraft is coming off a season in which he made 26 starts and finished with a record of 7-9. His ERA for the year was 4.76, and he had a WHIP of 1.37. Ashcraft’s batting average allowed was .260, and his on-base percentage allowed was .329. He finished the season with 15 quality starts and allowed a total of 23 home runs. For the season, Ashcraft averaged 6.86 strikeouts per nine innings and had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.1.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Our model is projecting a strong offensive performance from the Reds today, with Christian Encarnacion-Strand leading the way. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and is 12th in the league in that category. Encarnacion-Strand also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Reds, with the 4th best odds in the league today. Jonathan India is 2nd on the team in hits and home run projections, while Jeimer Candelario is 7th in total hits and 13th in terms of hitting a home run.
Spencer Turnbull Gets The Start For The Phillies
Spencer Turnbull is coming off a season in which he made seven starts and finished with a record of 1-4. His ERA for the season was 7.26, and his WHIP was 1.68. Turnbull’s batting average allowed was .282, and his on-base percentage allowed was .369. He finished the season with five home runs allowed and an average of 2.1 walks per game. Turnbull’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 1.6.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
For the Phillies, we have Trea Turner as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. His home run projection is 3rd best on the team and 10th best in the league today. Kyle Schwarber has the top home run projection for the Phillies and 6th best in the league. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the Phillies in terms of total hits and home run projection, with his home run projection being 9th best in the league today.
Reds vs Phillies Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -143. We actually have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Spencer Turnbull is actually one of the better options today in terms of picking up a win, and we have him finishing with six strikeouts compared to Graham Ashcraft, who we have finishing with just four.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 2, 2024 Phillies, Reds