The Kansas City Royals (86-76) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (91-71) on Tuesday, October 1st. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 3:08 CT.
Royals vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-159)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
- The Orioles have won 7 of their last 10 games.
- The Orioles have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Orioles have a 3-game winning streak.
- The Orioles have a home record of 44-37, while the Royals have an away record of 41-40.
- The Orioles have outscored their opponents by 23 runs in their last 5 wins.
Royals vs Orioles
The Royals Are Coming Off A Win
To close out their series vs. the Braves, the Royals picked up a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +183. It was a big three-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.
Alec Marsh put together a good start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Kansas City’s offense was carried by Michael Massey, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
On the road today, the Royals are looking to bounce back after losing two of three in their most recent series vs. the Braves. This season, they have an overall series record of 23-26-2 and an 89-73 run line record. As underdogs, they have a 48-33 run line record, and their games have gone over the line 93.8% of the time, with an average total of 8.5 runs.
Kansas City is 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central and has a 41-40 road record. Straight up, they are 50-31 as favorites and 36-45 as underdogs.
Cole Ragans Gets The Start For The Royals
Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with an ERA of 3.14. Ragans’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.14, and opponents have a batting average of .206 off him this season. In his 32 starts, Ragans has turned in 21 quality starts and is averaging 10.77 strikeouts per nine innings. One of his 32 starts was a complete game. Ragans most recently pitched on September 24th, where he went six innings, giving up no earned runs on six hits. He finished with three walks and six strikeouts in that outing.
Royals Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a little bit better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and are 2nd in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. The Royals have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, but are near the bottom of the league in walks.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been the Royals’ top power threats this season, with Witt Jr. leading the team with 32 homers and Perez right behind him with 27. Witt Jr. is also batting .332 for the season, while Perez comes in at .271. Witt Jr. comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Hunter Renfroe has struggled at the plate of late, going 2/11 in his last four games.
The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win
The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Twins in the 2nd inning, the Orioles responded with three runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another three runs in the 5th inning.
Starting for the Orioles was Albert Suarez, who picked up the win while tossing six innings of two-run ball. He also finished with four K’s and issued just one walk. James McCann went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are three games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Baltimore has a 91-71 overall record and has won three straight games, including the final three games of their series vs. the Twins. Against other AL East teams, the Orioles are 32-20 this season.
This season, Orioles games have averaged 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 87-63. In games with a total of 7 runs, their O/U record is 8-4-4. Baltimore has covered the run line in 49 of their 81 road games, with an average run margin of +0.8 in those games.
Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles
Corbin Burnes is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he took the loss and gave up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Burnes’ ERA for the season is 2.92, along with a record of 15-9. Opponents have hit .210 off Burnes this season, and his WHIP is 1.10. For the year, he has made 32 starts, 22 of which were quality starts. Burnes’ ERA at home is 3.32, compared to 2.98 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s 4th best scoring offense at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250, which is the 6th best mark in the league right now.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 44 homers being the 3rd most in the league, and Henderson’s 37 long balls being the 7th best mark in the MLB. Santander comes into the game with a team-high 102 RBIs, while Henderson is 2nd on the team at 92. Santander has been on a tear of late, going 8/22 with two homers in his last seven games.
Royals vs Orioles Prediction
Our pick for today’s Royals vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -159. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-3, and with the payout of -159, this is a good value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Cole Ragans finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for third among today’s starters. As for Corbin Burnes, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him fourth among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:October 1, 2024 Orioles, Royals