Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction 10/5/2024

The Kansas City Royals (86-76) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (94-68) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:38 CT.

Royals vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-203)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
  • The Yankees have a strong home record with 44 wins and 37 losses, compared to the Royals’ away record of 41 wins and 40 losses.
  • In their last 15 games, the Yankees have scored 10 or more runs in 3 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
  • The Yankees have won 3 of their last 4 home games, indicating a positive trend in recent home performance.
  • In their last head-to-head series against the Royals, the Yankees won 2 out of 3 games, including a 10-run performance.
  • The Yankees have a better overall league standing with a record of 94-68, compared to the Royals’ 86-76, reflecting a stronger season performance.

Royals vs Yankees

kansas city royals nba

The Royals Are Coming Off A Win

To close out their series vs. the Orioles, the Royals picked up a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +125 on the money line. It was a good start for the Royals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 6th.

Seth Lugo put together a good start for the Royals, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and striking out six. However, he didn’t get the win, as the Royals didn’t take the lead until the 6th.

As the Royals prepare to face the Yankees in New York for game one of their AL Divisional Round series, they’ll look to improve on their 41-40 road record this season. Kansas City has won three straight games on the road and as underdogs.

Against the run line, the Royals went 91-73 this year, with a +0.7 run-scoring margin on the road. They’ve covered the run line in four consecutive road games. The under has hit in five straight Royals games, and their overall over/under record is 69-90. Today’s 7.5-run line is well below their season average of 8.4 runs.

Michael Wacha Gets The Start For The Royals

Michael Wacha is looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Nationals on September 26th, he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Before that, Wacha had won two straight starts. His record for the season is 13-8, and he has an ERA of 3.35. Wacha’s WHIP for the season is 1.19. Out of his 29 starts, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 17 homers.

Royals Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they are scoring 4.8 runs per contest, which is 7th best in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .248, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is 16th in the league. The Royals are one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts, but they are 25th in the league in walks.

Bobby Witt Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 32 home runs, and his 109 RBIs are 5th best in the league. He is also batting .332 for the season. Witt Jr. is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 10/34 over his last nine games. Salvador Perez is also on a good stretch of games, as he has a three-game hitting streak and is batting .271 for the season.

The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win

New York closed out their series vs. the Pirates with a 6-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -169. It was a big 1st inning for the Yankees, as they scored two runs, and the Pirates could only score three runs the entire game, all of which came in the 3rd.

Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going four innings and giving up four earned runs. He also issued four walks and took the loss. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Trent Grisham, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

As the Yankees prepare to host game one of their AL Divisional Round series against the Royals, they’ll look to build on their 94-68 regular season record. New York went 44-37 at home this year, compared to 50-31 on the road. As home favorites, they posted a 43-35 mark.

New York finished the season with a run line record of 84-78, including 35-46 at home. As favorites, they went 62-74 against the run line. The Yankees’ games averaged 9.2 total runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 86-71, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today and is coming off a strong outing against the Orioles, where he didn’t allow a run. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings and gave up just two hits. Cole finished with a no-decision in his outing before that, but he pitched well, going nine innings and giving up just one run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Cole’s ERA for the season is 3.41, along with a record of 8-5. Opponents are batting .211 off Cole this season.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been the best home run hitting team in the league and are also leading the league in RBIs. The Yankees have been patient at the plate, leading the league in walks.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the top two hitters in the Yankees lineup this season, with Judge leading the team in batting average and homers. Judge has been especially hot of late, hitting .346 over his last eight games with five homers. Gleyber Torres is also swinging a hot bat, going 13/40 in his last nine games.

Royals vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Royals matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line. However, we see there being some good value in the over/under market, with our recommended pick being to take the under at -102.

If you are looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Yankees with the under, as we have Gerrit Cole finishing with six strikeouts compared to Michael Wacha with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.