Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction 10/7/2024

The Kansas City Royals (86-76) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (94-68) on Monday, October 7th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on TBS. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Royals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:38 CT.

Royals vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-152)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
  • The Yankees have won 7 of their last 10 home games, demonstrating strong recent performance at home.
  • In their last 15 games, the Yankees have scored 6 or more runs in 7 games, showcasing their offensive capability.
  • The Yankees have a 3-1 record against the Royals in their last 4 head-to-head matchups, indicating recent success against this opponent.
  • The Yankees have a league rank of 1st in their division, while the Royals are ranked 5th in theirs, highlighting a disparity in overall team performance.
  • The Yankees have a positive run differential in their last 5 home games, scoring a total of 29 runs while allowing 21 runs.

Royals vs Yankees

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It was a close game in the most recent game of this Yankees vs Royals series. New York went into the matchup as -202 favorites and squeaked out a 6-5 win. Kansas City had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 6th and another three in the 7th, but could only muster one run in the 9th.

Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision as Clay Holmes got the win out of the bullpen. Luke Weaver got the save. Michael Wacha had a rough outing for the Royals, taking the loss.

Offensively, the Yankees were led by Gleyber Torres and Juan Soto, as they were the only two hitters in the lineup to have more than one hit. Torres and Alex Verdugo each homered for New York. For the Royals, MJ Melendez hit the games only other home run and went 2/4 at the plate.

Facing a must-win situation, the Royals head into game two of their series against the Yankees, who lead 1-0. Kansas City is on the road, where they posted a 41-40 record this season, compared to 45-36 at home. As favorites, the Royals went 50-31, while they were 38-46 as underdogs.

During the regular season, Kansas City’s run line record was 92-73, with an average run margin of +0.6 per game. They’ve covered the run line in five straight road games. The under has been a strong trend for the Royals, with their over/under record sitting at 70-90. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.4 runs.

Cole Ragans Gets The Start For The Royals

Cole Ragans gets the start for the Royals today vs. the Yankees and comes in with a record of 11-9 and ERA of 3.14. So far, he has made 32 starts and 21 of them have been quality starts. Ragans’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 186 1/3 innings of work, he has allowed 15 home runs and is averaging 10.77 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Ragans picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run vs. the Orioles. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he gave up at least three earned runs.

Royals Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Kansas City’s offense has been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in terms of drawing walks. The Royals’ team batting average of .248 is 7th in the league, and they are also 11th in slugging percentage.

Salvador Perez and Michael Massey are both on four-game hitting streaks heading into today’s game. Perez is 8/21 in his last six games, while Massey is 8/21 in his last six games. Over his last five games, Bobby Witt Jr. has gone 3/18, and Hunter Renfroe has just one hit in his last 10 at-bats.

With a 1-0 lead in their series against Kansas City, the Yankees are set to host game two. New York finished the regular season with a 94-68 record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. They’ve won two straight at home and as the favorite.

New York’s run line record is 84-79, and they’ve gone 35-47 against the run line at home. As favorites, their run line record is 62-75. The Yankees’ over/under record is 87-71, and 85.2% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in three straight games for New York.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes in with a record of 16-9 and an ERA of 3.96. Out of his 32 starts, he has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 10.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Rodón most recently faced the Pirates, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, going 9-2 with a 3.58 ERA compared to 7-7 with a 5.25 ERA on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

The Yankees have the best home run total in the league this season and are 3rd in the league in runs per game at 5.0. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and are the top home run hitting team in the league.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, batting .333 over his last seven games with five home runs. For the season, he is batting .322 and leads the league with 144 RBIs. Juan Soto has also been swinging a good bat, hitting .288 this season with 41 homers.

Royals vs Yankees Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Yankees and Royals matchup is 4-3 in favor of the Yankees. With the Yankees on the money line at -152, this gives us a good payout for a team that we see coming out on top.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Yankees with the under, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs. As for the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts and Cole Ragans with six as well.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.