The Cleveland Guardians (41-22) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (22-42) on Sunday, June 9th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Guardians vs Marlins
Cleveland cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster four hits and left four runners on base.
Ben Lively only went five innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. Roddery Muñoz struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. He took the loss.
Steven Kwan and José Ramírez each homered for the Guardians, while Josh Naylor scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Cleveland comes into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins with an overall record of 41-22, which has them leading the AL Central by three games over the Royals. The Guardians are 11-6 in division games this season. They have split the first two games of this series with the Marlins and have an overall series record of 14-5-1 this year.
At home, the Guardians have gone 21-8 this year, and they are 20-14 on the road. The Guardians have been really good in day games, going 17-7 this year. As the favorite, Cleveland is 29-14, and they are 12-8 as the underdog.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line this season. Their overall run line record is 35-28, and they have been even better on the road at 19-15. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have an average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-28. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-10. So far this season, 20.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco is getting the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.66 ERA. Carrasco’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Carrasco has allowed a total of eight homers this season. So far, he has made two quality starts.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 11th in the league, and have the 9th ranked home run total in the league. So far, they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts and have the 7th best on-base percentage in the league.
José Ramírez has been the league’s top run producer so far, with 61 RBIs, and his 18 homers are 4th best in the MLB. He is also batting .272 for the season. Over his last 10 games, he has gone 12/37 with three homers. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 16 homers but has struggled of late, hitting just .175 in his last 10 games.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 22-42, and they have gone just 4-12 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins will be at home today, where they are 12-24 this season.
So far, the Marlins have struggled as the favorite, going just 3-12 this year. As the underdog, they are 19-30, and their overall series record is 5-14-1. Miami has dropped three straight series and are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line on the Marlins this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 26-38 overall, but they are 15-13 on the road. They are 11-25 at home. They are 1-14 when favored and 25-24 when underdogs. Their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, but they have a run differential of -0.9 on the road and -1.9 at home. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.2 runs per game, but in their losses, they are being outscored by an average of 3.9 runs per game.
When the Miami Marlins are at home this season, their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. The over/under record for Marlins games this season is 34-29, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 14 of those 24 games. Overall, only 15.6% of Miami’s games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher this season.
Trevor Rogers Gets The Start For The Marlins
Trevor Rogers will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Marlins today. In his most recent outing, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work, taking the loss to the Rangers. Looking back over his last three outings, Rogers has finished with a no-decision in two of them and has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last three starts. For the season, he is 1-7 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Opposing batters are hitting .300 off Rogers this year.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Josh Bell has been the Marlins’ best hitter of late, going 17/40 in his last 10 games. This stretch includes a six-game hitting streak and four RBIs. Bell is batting .256 for the season and leads the team with 31 RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz has also been a good run producer for the Marlins, with 28 RBIs, but he is just 6/36 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.6. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami has been a good team at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are 26th in walks. The Marlins’ team batting average is .235, and they are near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Guardians vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for the Guardians and Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. With the Guardians being on the road, you can get them at -111 on the money line, and this is our recommended pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Carrasco finishing with six strikeouts, which is just one more than Trevor Rogers. However, Rogers is actually projected to finish with a lower ERA than Carrasco.
Offensively, the Guardians lineup is projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Marlins with nine. However, the Marlins are projected to finish with fewer runs and have a lower team home run projection.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 9, 2024 Guardians, Marlins