Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7/11/2024

The Colorado Rockies (33-60) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (44-49) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Rockies vs. Reds Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (-199)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Reds have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Reds have a 3-0 record against the Rockies in their last 3 head-to-head matchups.
  • The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 10 away games.
  • The Reds have outscored the Rockies 34-13 in their last 4 head-to-head matchups.

Rockies vs Reds

colorado rockies nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rockies vs Reds series. Colorado went into the matchup as +163 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The Rockies had a huge 9th inning, scoring three runs to pick up the win.

Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Frankie Montas, as he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work for the Reds. Kyle Freeland got the win for the Rockies, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Sam Hilliard and Elias Diaz each homered for the Rockies, while Jake Cave scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Nolan Jones also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Colorado.

Colorado has struggled this season, as they are 33-60 overall and have yet to win a series, with a series record of 5-21-3. As underdogs, they have a 45-48 record against the run line, and their games have averaged 10 runs per game, resulting in a 47-44 over/under record.

The Rockies are 10-17 against NL West teams and have a 13-33 road record. They are currently in 5th place in the NL West, 22 games behind the Dodgers. Colorado is coming off a series loss to the Pirates and has an overall record of 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Austin Gomber Gets The Start For The Rockies

Left-hander Austin Gomber is starting for the Rockies today as he faces the Reds on the road. Gomber has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 4.47. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has given up four earned runs in three of his last five outings. Gomber’s ERA on the road is 6.95, compared to 3.56 at home. This season, he has allowed a total of 16 home runs.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the MLB. They have been a little better at home, putting up 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. As a team, the Rockies are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the MLB.

Over his last eight games, Brenton Doyle has been on fire, going 13/26 with four home runs and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd spot in batting average (.280) and home runs (13). Ryan McMahon has also been swinging a hot bat, as he is on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .274 for the season with a team-high 45 RBIs and 14 homers.

Currently, the Reds are 44-49 overall and sit in 4th place in the NL Central, 10 games behind the Brewers. They have a 2-1 series lead over the Rockies and a 12-14 division record. Cincinnati’s series record this season is 9-17-3, and their run line record is 50-43 with an average run margin of +0.3.

On the run line, the Reds are 30-14 on the road and 20-29 at home. Their over/under record is 40-49, and when the total is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 1-15-3. So far, 30.1% of their games have had higher lines than today’s total of 9 runs.

Hunter Greene Gets The Start For The Reds

Hunter Greene will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Tigers on July 6th, he went seven innings, giving up just three hits and two walks. Greene finished with seven strikeouts in the outing. For the game, he didn’t give up a homer. Looking back further, Greene has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. His ERA for the season is 3.45, along with a record of 5-4. Opponents are batting .198 off Greene this season. Out of his 18 starts, Greene has seven quality starts and one complete game.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, as De La Cruz leads the team with 15 homers, while Steer is right behind him with 14 home runs. Steer has four homers in his last seven games and has gone 6/24 over that stretch. De La Cruz is also on a three-game hitting streak. Steer’s 59 RBIs are 10th in the league, and De La Cruz is 3rd on the team with 40 RBIs.

Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been slightly better on the road this season. As a team, they are batting just .228, which is 18th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts. Currently, the Reds have a few players on a hitting streak, including De La Cruz.

Rockies vs Reds Prediction

Our prediction for this Rockies vs. Reds matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We see the Reds picking up a 6-5 win, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you’re looking to take the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Hunter Greene finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Austin Gomber with just four. Greene is also projected to go longer in this one, and if you’re looking for a player prop bet, Greene’s strikeout line is a good place to start.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.