The Colorado Rockies (7-23) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (8-24) on Thursday, May 2nd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on None. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 12:10 ET.
Rockies vs Marlins
Miami picked up a 4-1 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a two-run 5th inning and added two more insurance runs in the 8th. As for the Rockies, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were favored at -144 on the money line.
Roddery Muñoz pitched well for the Marlins in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He picked up a win in the game, while Anthony Maldonado got the save. Dakota Hudson had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss.
Emmanuel Rivera was the only player in the game to have more than one hit, as he went 2/2 with two runs scored for the Marlins. Dane Myers also had a two RBI game at the plate.
With a record of 7-23, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 11.5 games. They are on a four-game losing streak heading into today’s matchup at the Marlins. Colorado has gone 4-7 in division games this year.
So far, the Rockies have really struggled on the road, going 2-13. At home, Colorado is just 5-10. As the underdog, the Rockies have yet to win a game this year, going 0-0 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 0-8-1, and they have lost seven straight series.
Colorado has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 13-17 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 7-8, but have struggled on the road, going 6-9. Their average run margin is -2.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.9 runs per game on the road. In their losses, they have been outscored by an average of 4.2 runs per game.
So far this season, the Rockies have played 28 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 14 of those games. Their games have averaged 10.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 14-16. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in the only game they’ve played this season with a line set at that number.
Peter Lambert Gets The Start For The Rockies
Right-hander Peter Lambert is getting the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made one start and eight appearances this season, coming out of the bullpen for his last three outings. Lambert’s record for the season is 2-1, and he has an ERA of 4.67. Lambert’s WHIP for the season is 1.33. In his last outing, he went 2 2/3 innings out of the bullpen, giving up six earned runs on six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had not given up a homer in three straight outings.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 12th in the league, and have the 16th ranked slugging percentage in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is that the Rockies have the 3rd best BABIP in the league, but that hasn’t translated to a lot of runs.
Over his last six games, Ryan McMahon has gone 8/21 with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 18 RBIs, and he is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Brenton Doyle has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/23 in his last six games. So far this season, Michael Toglia and Ryan McMahon are tied for the team lead with four homers, but Toglia is batting just .106.
Miami is hosting the Rockies today with an overall record of 8-24, which puts them 5th in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9. The Marlins are 13.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead.
The Marlins have won two straight games, and these wins have come at home. So far, they are just 4-15 at home this year. On the road, Miami is 4-9. This season, they are just 2-11 as the favorite and 6-13 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 0-8-1, and they have lost two straight series.
When betting on the Marlins’ run line, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they’re 9-10 against the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 10-22, and they’re 4-15 against the run line at home.
The Miami Marlins have played 29 games this season, and 90.6% of those games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 17-15. Their game today against the Colorado Rockies has an over/under line set at 7.5 runs.
Edward Cabrera Gets The Start For The Marlins
Edward Cabrera will be making his 4th start of the season for the Marlins, and he will be facing the Rockies at home. In his first start of the season, he went 6 innings and struck out 10, but he took a no-decision. His last time out, he took the loss vs. the Nationals, giving up 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
The Marlins offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game this season, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average of .223 is 20th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are averaging just 7 strikeouts per game, which is the 7th best mark in the league.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. comes into the game as the Marlins’ top home run hitter, but he is batting just .230 for the season and has gone just 3/16 in his last five games. Luis Arraez is currently on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .295 for the season.
Rockies vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for the Marlins vs. Rockies game is to take the over, as we see the final score being 5-4 in favor of the Marlins. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, there is some good value on the over at -118.
Looking at the starters, Edward Cabrera of the Marlins has the highest strikeout projection, and you could also look to his over/under line in terms of strikeouts. We have him finishing with seven K’s. As for Peter Lambert, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and you could look to his over/under line as well.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 2, 2024 Marlins, Rockies