Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/24/2024

The Chicago Cubs (80-77) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (93-64) on Tuesday, September 24th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MARQ. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Cubs vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (+108)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Phillies have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Phillies have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game.
  • The Phillies have a home record of 53-26, which is the best in the National League.
  • The Phillies have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Cubs.
  • The Phillies have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games.

Cubs vs Phillies

chicago cubs nba

Philadelphia cruised to a 6-2 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and added three more runs in the 3rd. As for the Cubs, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -205 on the money line.

Aaron Nola pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Nate Pearson only went one inning for the Cubs, giving up one hit and no earned runs.

J.T. Realmuto and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 2/3 with an RBI for Philadelphia. Bryce Harper also had a two-hit game and scored a run for the Phillies’ offense.

Chicago has a 22-25-3 series record this season and are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cubs are 21-28 against other NL Central teams and have a 80-77 overall record. They lost the first game of their series against the Phillies.

On the run line, the Cubs have a 46-33 record on the road and are 49-27 as underdogs. Their average run margin on the road is +0.3, slightly lower than their overall +0.4 run margin. This season, Cubs games have averaged 8.7 runs, with 73 games going over and 78 games going under the total.

Justin Steele Gets The Start For The Cubs

Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.03 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .214 this year off Steele. In his last outing, he went 2 2/3 innings, giving up no earned runs, one hit, and three walks. Steele has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last three outings. One of his 11 quality starts came in his most recent outing. Steele has a WHIP of 1.10 this year.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. One thing to watch is that they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game compared to just 4.0 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also 13th in home runs.

Over his last six games, Ian Happ has gone 6/21 with two homers and four runs scored. For the season, he leads the Cubs with 85 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 21 homers. Seiya Suzuki also has 21 homers and is batting .278 for the season.

Philadelphia is 93-64 overall and holds a 5.5-game lead over the Mets in the NL East. They have won three straight games at home and lead the Cubs 1-0 in the series. The Phillies’ over/under record for games with an 8.5 run line is 16-14, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs this season.

As favorites, the Phillies have an 80-46 record straight up, but against the run line, they are 60-66 in those games. Their average run margin in wins is 3.9, while in losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.8 runs per game.

Tanner Banks Gets The Start For The Phillies

Tanner Banks will be looking to pitch better than he did in his most recent outing, as he is coming off a bullpen appearance in which he gave up one earned run in one inning of work. In that outing vs. the Mets, he gave up a home run. Against the Cubs today, Banks will be looking to pitch deeper into the game and avoid the long ball. Overall, he has made 60 appearances and one start, finishing with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.78. Banks’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.27.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are also batting a collective .258, which is 4th in the MLB.

Kyle Schwarber has been leading the Phillies’ offense this season, as his 37 homers are the most in the league and he is also 10th in the league with 100 RBIs. Schwarber has gone deep twice in his last five games, but he is just 5/23 in that stretch. Nick Castellanos has been hot of late, going 9/19 in his last five games, and he is also on a five-game hitting streak.

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction

Getting the Phillies at +108 on the money line is a great value, especially with the payout being over +100. Our predicted score is that the Phillies will come out on top by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Banks is projected to have a good outing, with our models having him finishing with five strikeouts and allowing just a couple of runs. As for Justin Steele, he does have a good strikeout projection at seven, but our models have him allowing six hits and finishing with an ERA near 4.00.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.